Tag Archives: Nintendo

Zubin Jelveh of Portfolio incorrectly files his story on Nintendo Wii’s polling system in the prediction markets category.

No trading going on. –> Nothing to do with our prediction markets.

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Wanna infiltrate the media with exchange odds? Hire an analyst, and he/she’ll spin them.

Game Informer: 7. On each platform, what will be the biggest seller? Jesse Divnich (of The Sim Exchange): The prediction market has made that pretty clear. Wii – Mario Galaxy – 2.0 and 1.99 million units for November and December … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The simExchange on July video game sales

This is the fifth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on console hardware and the second month, the simExchange has traded contracts on 10 software SKUs. Contracts are settled against the NPD Group’s monthly unit sales … Continue reading

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NPD June sales data reviewed

This is the fourth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on the NPD Group’s monthly sales data. This month, the simExchange expanded its contract offerings to include 10 software SKUs. PS3 sales came in line with … Continue reading

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GLUTTONY, OBESITY AND RUPTURED STOMACHS: TradeSports promotes a dangerous and abject spectacle.

Nathans July 4th – Hot Dog Eating Contest – Outright Winner — Slate: As for more recent harms, you can’t top Mort Hurst’s Guinness World Record attempt in 1991. Hurst, a MoonPie-eating champ from North Carolina, suffered a stroke after … Continue reading

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NPD releases May sales data, Crowd vs Expert compared

In the third month of trading hybrid futures to predict NPD’s monthly console sales data, it appears the Crowd is continuing to outperform one of the leading Wall Street analysts. This month, the traders on the simExchange were closer on … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The Sim Exchange and Midas Oracle both made it in CNET News.

CNET News: [...] It turned out that Shiau’s predictions weren’t perfect–on average he was about 15 percent off on the sales of Nintendo’s DS and Wii, Sony’s PlayStation 3 and PlayStation Portable and Microsoft’s Xbox 360. But he also wasn’t … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry, Midas Oracle Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

NPD releases April sales data, prediction market and analyst compared

Last month was the first month the simExchange (the free to play video game stock market game) has traded monthly hybrid futures contracts to predict NPD US video game sales data. In this trial run, trading on the simExchange appeared … Continue reading

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Accounting sales of digitally downloaded games

This post was originally written for users of the simExchange prediction market following the listing of a new video game product that is distributed both through traditional retail channels but also digital downloads. With the listing of LittleBigPlanet, the simExchange … Continue reading

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