Tag Archives: Niall Ferguson

Niall Ferguson gives a historical perspective on the current financial crisis. — [VIDEO]

Fiscal Crises and Imperial Collapses: Historical Perspective on Current Predicaments. Presentation – PDF file. [Download this post to watch the video, if your feed reader does not show it to you.]

Posted in Economics, Finance, History, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Black Swan & Predicting World War I

The inspired John De Palma writes to me: With the TradeSports Saddam contracts, Justin Wolfers had it relatively easy in inferring the extent to which an anticipated war was built into financial market pricing. (Paper – PDF file). A similar … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Economics | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments