Tag Archives: NewsWeek

The John Edwards Non-Affair: How on Earth did they get this photo, what does this photo prove, and which prediction markets should we trade on to profit from this alledged scandal?

Posted on August 6, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- – Will CNN report on the John Edwards/mistress/baby rumors? | Hubdub – Will a supposed affair between John Edwards and Rielle Hunter be confirmed? | Hubdub – UPDATE: The Charlotte Observer UPDATE: National Review UPDATE: Google’s cached webpages of … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Meet David Perry of Consensus Point.

Posted on August 2, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

David Perry Photo Credit: Bryan Bass, for NewsWeek

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The Defining Moment Of The French Presidential Elections

Posted on May 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

French Adman Jacques Seguela = Political Turncoat Of The Millennium #1. Adman Jacques Seguela (of ad firm Euro-RSCG) worked for all the (presidential and legislative) Socialist candidates since 1981 —except for the last one (Segolene Royal). #2. He has voted … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Christopher Dickey of NewsWeek has a screw loose.

Posted on May 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

French Presidential Elections Christopher Dickey: Sarko Has the Best Plan, But French Voters Don’t Want It. [...] On paper, Nicolas Sarkozy offers France its best hope for change. [...] He would cut taxes, free up the labor market, encourage people … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

This is a really tough decision. War may well be the right decision at this point. In fact, I think it–it’s–it–it probably is.

Posted on March 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

So said Time columnist Joe Klein just before the Iraq war. And now, Joe Klein pretends that he was all against this Iraq war from day one. Joe Klein is just the latest of the so-called “MSN” pundits caught red-handed … Continue reading →

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Great Democratic-Leaning Blog Of The Day

Posted on February 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Libre Respondent: You Want to Make A Bad Situation Worse? Call in George W. Bush. According to Egyptian Prime Minister Ahmed Nazif, quoted in the Newsweek print edition, the Palestinian election that brought Hamas to power was a result of … Continue reading →

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How to turn your blog into a book

Posted on January 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Life Hacker girl has a book out (and she is in NewsWeek, too): [...] It wasn’t until I’d posted to Lifehacker 12 times a day every weekday for 9 months until I got a career-changing email from David at … Continue reading →

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The McLaughlin Group slams Time magazine for its choice for Person of the Year 2006.

Posted on December 28, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Moderator John McLaughlin, Democratic-leaning Eleanor Clift and paleo-conservative Pat Buchanan condemned Time magazine editors for picking the Internet citizens as “Person of the Year 2006″ – (Streaming Video – Video MP4 file – Audio MP3 file): MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Okay, here … Continue reading →

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Historical prediction markets vs. scientific polls (or non-scientific polls + bullshit detectors)

Posted on November 7, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Five minutes ago, I lamented that the names of economists Koleman Strumpf and Paul Rhode were not cited in the NewsWeek article. Well, here’s from the WSJ blog $$$ (via JC Kommer): MarketBeat: Betting on Politicians, 1916 Edition – [historical … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Historical prediction markets: Kudos to Koleman Strumpf and Paul Rhode

Posted on November 7, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Excerpted at CFM and cited here, the NewsWeek article (heavily featuring professor Justin Wolfers and consultant David Perry) is a very good read. The driving force behind the WSX—betting on election outcomes—is nothing new. Even though the first organized markets … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments