Tag Archives: New York Giants

Assessing Probabilistic Predictions 101

Lance Fortnow: [...] Notice that when we have a surprise victory in a primary, like Clinton in New Hampshire, much of the talk revolves on why the pundits, polls and prediction markets all “failed.” Meanwhile in sports when we see … Continue reading

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Some interesting historical data on the Superbowl

From Allen St. John of the WSJ (subscription required): Over the last 22 Super Bowls, 18 — 86% of them — were won by the team that came into the game after allowing fewer regular-season points. (In the 2004-05 regular … Continue reading

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