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Tag Archives: National Bureau of Economic Research
The LinkedIn Profile of the Top Thinker on Prediction Markets [*]
Justin Wolfers’ profile at LinkedIn: Assistant Professor of Business and Public Policy at The Wharton School, U. Penn and Public Policy Consultant Greater Philadelphia Area Current * Assistant Professor of Business and Public Policy at The Wharton School, U. Penn … Continue reading
Posted in Resources - References
Tagged David Pennock, economist, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Greater Philadelphia, Harvard University, Justin Wolfers, National Bureau of Economic Research, online survey, prediction markets, Professor of Business, professor of economics, Public Policy Consultant, Reserve Bank of Australia, San Francisco, University of Sydney, Wharton School
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Recession probability index rises to 16.9%
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP grew at an annual rate of 1.3% in the first quarter of 2007, moving our recession probability index up to 16.9%. This post provides some background on how that … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, The Global Economy
Tagged Bureau of Economic Analysis, California, Emporia Telecom Isoetec IDS, James Hamilton, Marcelle Chauvet, National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, probability law, Professor, professor of economics, San Diego, t - 1, The Bureau of Economic Analysis, United States, University of California
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Macro-economists have successfully predicted nine of the last five recessions.
National Bureau of Economic Research’s Business Cycle Dating Committee The determination that the last contraction ended in November 2001 is the most recent decision of the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research.