Tag Archives: National Aeronautics and Space Administration
A climate scientist takes a close look at InTrade’s global warming prediction markets…
Climate scientist James Annan:
What odds a hot 2008
About 20%, if you just want the executive summary (at least, that is the market “consensus”). If you want the details, read on…
Via Chris Masse at Midas Oracle, I see that Intrade has a betting market on 2008 global mean temperature being in the top 5 hottest years. [...]
Prediction Market Rise —2008 Edition
My wish for the Year 2008:
Great Fun, Accurate Predictions, and Huge Trading Profits… for All
“Earth Rise” by NASA
Some global warming updates from GISS
Intrade (or any prediction exchange wanting to compete), please list global warming contracts!
The information will probably end up saving lives, as we can more efficiently allocate finite resources to global warming research and reduction (vs. preventative healthcare, disease control, micro loans, etc.). For instance, we spend a lot of money on the AIDS pandemic in [...]
The PopSci PPX prediction exchange organizes many socially valuable play-money prediction markets.
Popular Science – PopSci’s PPX:
Consumer Tech and Entertainment
SYMBOL NAME PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE
APPLEPC iPhone Increases Apple’s Computer Market Share 52.00 1.00 [...]
NASA’s build-your-own-spaceship contest
[A New York Times Magazine (July 1, 2007) article] looks at NASA’s attempts to use public competitions with large cash prizes (up to $2 million) to lure amateurs into developing better space technologies —from a more efficient astronaut’s glove to a new lunar lander.
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