Tag Archives: Mike Huckabee

Testing the new HubDub chart widgets

Posted on May 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

.hdwg div {color:inherit;font:inherit} .hdwg a{font:inherit} .hdwg div{margin:0px} .hdwg img {border:0px;padding:0px} .hdwg img {padding:0px} what is this? Who will the 2008 Democratic candidate for President be? % chance over time Barack Obama Hillary Clinton John Edwards Someone else Get this widget … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Software | Tagged Barack Obama, compound charts, Democratic candidate, dynamic charts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hillary Clinton, HubDub, John Edwards, John McCain, market widgets, Mike Bloomberg, Mike Huckabee, news markers, prediction market data visualization, prediction markets, prediction widgets, President, Ralph Nader, Ron Paul, United States, widgets | 3 Comments

Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada + Republican primary in South Carolina

Posted on January 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

— Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada — Democratic caucus in Nevada (Hillary Clinton = 57.4%): BetFair Democratic prediction markets — Democratic caucus in Nevada (Barack Obama = 42%): BetFair Democratic prediction markets — Republican caucus in Nevada (Mitt Romney … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Nevada, Nevada caucus, Politics, prediction markets, South Carolina, South Carolina primary, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections | Leave a comment

The New Hampshire Hypothesis

Posted on January 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Finally, the BetFair blog publishes one interesting post. It was about time. From our usual British suspect, professor Leighton Vaughan-Williams (who was on ABC News lately) —who else. How did everyone get New Hampshire so horribly wrong? These are the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged ABC, accuracy, Barack Obama, BetFair, Betting Research Unit, Director, Director of the Political Forecasting Unit and Betting Research Unit, event derivative markets, event derivatives, First Lady, Hillary Clinton, Illinois, InTrade, Iowa, John McCain, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Mike Huckabee, New Hampshire, New York, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University, Political Forecasting Unit, prediction markets, Professor, Senate, Senator, United States Senate | Leave a comment

2008′s Hillary Clinton = 2004′s Howard Dean

Posted on January 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

2008 US presidential elections Source: Dynamic, compound prediction market charts from InTrade — – Yahoo! News US Political Dashboard – Prediction Market Dashboard

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barak Obama, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hillary Clinton, Howard Dean, InTrade, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Politics, prediction markets, Rudy Giuliani, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections | Leave a comment

Iowa Caucus: British blogger Mike Smithson is selling Hillary Clinton short.

Posted on December 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Mike Smithson in the Financial Times today: [...] Feeding the development of political gambling is in his own interest. Mr Smithson estimates that there are as few as 1,500 regular political gamblers [*] in the UK, although the number swells … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Arkansas, GBP, Hillary Clinton, Iowa, Mike Huckabee, Mike Smithson, online gambling, the Financial Times, United Kingdom, United States, US political elections, US President, US presidential elections | Leave a comment