Tag Archives: Michael Pachter

The simExchange on July video game sales

Posted on August 29, 2007 by Brian Shiau

This is the fifth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on console hardware and the second month, the simExchange has traded contracts on 10 software SKUs. Contracts are settled against the NPD Group’s monthly unit sales … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged blog, console hardware, leading analyst, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD Group, PS3, simExchange Official, software sales, Sony, USD, Wedbush Morgan | Leave a comment

NPD June sales data reviewed

Posted on July 24, 2007 by Brian Shiau

This is the fourth month the simExchange video game prediction market has traded contracts on the NPD Group’s monthly sales data. This month, the simExchange expanded its contract offerings to include 10 software SKUs. PS3 sales came in line with … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Big Brain Academy, Electronic Arts, Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, leading analyst, Mario Party, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD Group, official, Phoenix, Pokemon Battle Revolution, PS2, PSP, Sony, The simExchange LLC, United States, Wedbush Morgan, Wii Play, Xbox 360 | Leave a comment

NPD releases May sales data, Crowd vs Expert compared

Posted on June 15, 2007 by Brian Shiau

In the third month of trading hybrid futures to predict NPD’s monthly console sales data, it appears the Crowd is continuing to outperform one of the leading Wall Street analysts. This month, the traders on the simExchange were closer on … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged blog, Electronic Arts, game software, Mario Party, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD, NPD Group, PS2, Sony, The simExchange Official, Wall Street, Wedbush Morgan | 1 Comment

The Sim Exchange and Midas Oracle both made it in CNET News.

Posted on May 18, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

CNET News: [...] It turned out that Shiau’s predictions weren’t perfect–on average he was about 15 percent off on the sales of Nintendo’s DS and Wii, Sony’s PlayStation 3 and PlayStation Portable and Microsoft’s Xbox 360. But he also wasn’t … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry, Midas Oracle Statistics | Tagged analyst, author, Brian Shiau, Chris Masse, educational tool, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, PlayStation 3, Sony, Wedbush Morgan | 2 Comments

NPD releases April sales data, prediction market and analyst compared

Posted on May 18, 2007 by Brian Shiau

Last month was the first month the simExchange (the free to play video game stock market game) has traded monthly hybrid futures contracts to predict NPD US video game sales data. In this trial run, trading on the simExchange appeared … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged analyst, blog, game software, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Nintendo, NPD Group, NPD US, official, prediction markets, PS2, simExchange, Sony, Super Paper Mario, United States, Wall Street, Wedbush Morgan | Leave a comment

The Sim Exchange’s predictions more accurate than Lazard Capital Markets and Wedbush Morgan’s ones.

Posted on April 23, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Brian Shiau, on a Gaming publication: [...] Lazard Capital Markets analyst Colin Sebastian had predicted March sales in the US to be flat. On the other hand Michael Pachter [of Wedbush Morgan] was expecting growth, forecasting Wii sales at 400k, … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged analyst, Brian Shiau, Colin Sebastian, Lazard Capital Markets, Michael Pachter, United States, Wedbush Morgan | Leave a comment