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- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: meta forecasting tools
We interrupt this bulletin devoted to the upcoming CFTC ruling to inform you that we are afraid that your “Jim Webb becomes VP” event derivative is now totally worthless —unless you’re a short seller (a.k.a. a layer).
WEBB DOESN’T WANT TO BE VP. – - InTrade – Democratic Vice President Nominee – Republican Vice President Nominee – BetFair – Next Vice President: – Democratic Ticket – Democratic Vice President Nominee – Republican Vice President Nominee – NewsFutures … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic Vice President, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Jim Webb, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, US Vice President, USD, vice president, VP
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What I mean by “advanced” and “retarded”
- An event is “advanced” when it is before the others on the timeline. – An event is “retarded” when it is after the others on the timeline. – - I use the term “advanced, primary indicator” to talk about … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Miscellaneous, Psychology, Science
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Tagged advanced, bombing, bombs, Central Intelligence Agency, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, InTrade trader, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, Mossad, Pentagon, physics, prediction markets, retarded, Says Any Attack, strikes, time, U.S. military, United States, USD, war
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Clueless and retarded InTrade traders (“the sheep”) can’t take “no” for an answer. — Short sellers (“the wolves”) will BBQ them.
Still trading at 30% this Thursday morning. – - – US Military Chief Says Any Attack on Iran Would be Destabilizing. – Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged bombing, bombs, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, prediction markets, Says Any Attack, strikes, U.S. military, United States, USD, war
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We interrupt this bulletin devoted to the upcoming CFTC ruling to inform you that we’re afraid that your “Israel-bombs-Iran-in-2008″ event derivatives are now completely… WORTHLESS —unless you’re a short seller.
Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not imminent. – - Explainer On Prediction Markets Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by aggregating … Continue reading →
The New Republic profiles the next Vice President of the United States of America —Jim Webb, maybe.
Via mister Bo Cowgill The New Republic – Some British betting bloggers are completely out of the loop. – UPDATE: Andrew Sullivan on Hillary Clinton’s exit statement. (He liked it.) UPDATE: InTrade forum thread. – InTrade – Democratic Vice President … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Andrew Sullivan, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic Vice President, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Jim Webb, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, United States Of America, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, US Vice President, USD, vice president
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Hillary Clinton won’t be on the Democratic ticket. — It’s not going to happen. — N-E-V-E-R. — Not a chance. — Period.
George Will: [...] Surely she, the most polarizing Democrat, is not the only Democrat who can help Obama appeal to the voters who rejected him in Kentucky and West Virginia. And as his running mate, she would nullify his narrative. … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic Vice President, George Will, Geroge Will, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Kentucky, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, US Vice President, USD, vice president, Washington, West Virginia
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Don’t trade on the VP predictions markets. — Don’t bet on Hillary Clinton as VP. — Don’t listen to betting bloggers who tell you that Hillary Clinton has a chance to be on the Democratic ticket. — Don’t believe in “vice presidential selection committees”. — Select well your primary, advanced indicators. — Choose your bets carefully.
The topic of this post is: Betting & Information – - #1. Don’t trade on the VP predictions markets. I have stong reservations about those VP prediction markets. Only 2 men in the world know what is going to happen: … Continue reading →
Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Betting, Democratic Vice President, Dick Cheney, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, FREE FALL, George W. Bush, Google, head, Hillary Clinton, information, Information Technology, InTrade, Iraq, John McCain, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, PageRank, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, Use technology, vice president, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, VP, VP nominee, VP prediction markets, VP predictions markets, VP-candidate prediction markets
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JIMMY CARTER: Picking up Hillary Clinton on the Democratic ticket “would be the worst mistake that could be made”.
The Guardian Take that, Mike R. – Reminder: I have stong reservations about those VP prediction markets. (But Bo compels me to publish about them anyway. ) – InTrade – Democratic Vice President Nominee – Republican Vice President Nominee – … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic Vice President, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Jimmy Carter, John McCain, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, The Guardian, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, vice president, VP, VP prediction markets
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Who will be the next US Vice President, past January 2009?
UPDATE: – To be kept updated on the prediction markets, go to the frontpage of Midas Oracle, or click on the InTrade tag. – Here are the expired contracts about the Democratic vice presidential nominee (Joe Biden). – Here is … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic Vice President, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Joe Biden, John McCain, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, Sarah Palin, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, vice president, VP, VP prediction markets
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75,000 people turned out to hear Barack Obama at Waterfront Park, Portland, Oregon, U.S.A.
- Oregon’s Democratic Primary – InTrade – BetFair – Kentucky’s Democratic Primary – InTrade – BetFair – NewsFutures Some delegates from FL or MI will be seated at the Democratic Convention. © NewsFutures – First look at individual states for … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic candidate, Democratic party, democrats, Florida, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Kentucky, meta forecasting tools, Montana, NewsFutures, Oregon, Politics, Portland, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, President, Republican candidate, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, Waterfront Park, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party
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