Tag Archives: McCain

Did the BetFair blog use trading data from InTrade to hint at BetFair’s accuracy??

Latest update on the BetFair blog fiasco — I am alerted today that the BetFair blog has updated its infamous Michigan story with a new compound chart bearing a clearer label. It reads now: Republican nomination – The race so … Continue reading

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MICHIGAN PRIMARY @ BETFAIR: Niall O’Connor asks the very pertinent question.

UPDATE: I just got it that Professor Leighton Vaughan-Williams’s story and the BetFair compound chart published on top of his story should be understood independently from each other, as this chart was pasted there by the BetFair blog editor. — … Continue reading

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The BetFair blog claims a worldwide victory.

UPDATE: I just got it that Professor Leighton Vaughan-Williams’s story and the BetFair compound chart published on top of his story should be understood independently from each other, as this chart was pasted there by the BetFair blog editor. — … Continue reading

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THE SILICON ALLEY BLOG COMES TO THE RESCUE OF THE PREDICTION MARKETS.

Silicon Alley’s Jonathan Kennedy: [...] In denouncing prediction markets as “wrong,” however, many pundits miss the point. Prediction markets do not provide accurate predictions of the future. (How could they? They simply represent the consensus guess of a group of … Continue reading

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