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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; market efficiency</title>
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		<title>The â€œefficient marketsâ€ hypothesis is dead.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/06/16/the-%e2%80%9cefficient-markets%e2%80%9d-hypothesis-is-dead/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/06/16/the-%e2%80%9cefficient-markets%e2%80%9d-hypothesis-is-dead/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2009 07:16:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Niall O'Connor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All Guest Authors's Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chartered Financial Analyst Institute]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[efficient markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[efficient markets hypothesis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market efficiency]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[An interesting piece in this morning&#8217;s FT by Gillian Tett. The Chartered Financial Analyst Institute, which for many years had taught the so-called â€œefficient marketsâ€ hypothesis to thousands of students, asked its members for the first time if they trusted &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/06/16/the-%e2%80%9cefficient-markets%e2%80%9d-hypothesis-is-dead/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4a51fc5c-59cc-11de-b687-00144feabdc0.html">An interesting piece in this morning&#8217;s FT by Gillian Tett</a>.</p>
<p>The Chartered Financial Analyst Institute, which for many years had taught the so-called â€œefficient marketsâ€ hypothesis to thousands of students, asked its members for the first time if they trusted in â€œmarket efficiencyâ€ â€“ and discovered that more than two-thirds of respondents no longer believed that market prices reflected all available information.</p>
<p>77 per cent of the CFA group also â€œstronglyâ€ or â€œvery stronglyâ€ disagreed that investors in aggregate behaved â€œrationallyâ€ â€“ in apparent defiance of the notion of the â€œwisdom of crowdsâ€ that has driven much investment theory in recent times.</p>
<p>And what is the new creed?   Behavioural finance &#8211; the notion that markets are driven by emotions, such as fear.</p>
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		<title>WORLD&#8217;S #1 PREDICTION MARKET GURU IMPLIES THAT THE PREDICTION MARKETS ARE NOT MATURE ENOUGH.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/09/12/robin-hanson-arbitrage/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/09/12/robin-hanson-arbitrage/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Sep 2008 15:13:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis (Market Efficiency)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Prices & Probabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Midas Oracle Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[arbitrage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[efficiency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emile Servan-Schreiber]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Iowa Electronic Markets]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[market efficiency]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[play-money prediction markets]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Robin Hanson]]></category>

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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p><a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/09/12/is-intrade-out-on-a-limb/#comment-21652"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-9413" title="warning-sign" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/warning-sign.jpg" alt="" width="661" height="210" /></a></p></blockquote>
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