Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Los Angeles

The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

How long will the writers’ strike last? And can prediction markets help answer this question?

The Writers Guild of America went on strike earlier this week.
Actress Eva Longoria, of ABC TV’s show Desparate Housewives, reportedly is concerned about the show’s crew, “that will have a terrible holiday season because there’s no resolution.” She added, “I care about people losing their homes, I care about my hair and makeup artists who [...]

Should the Hollywood Stock Exchange become a real-money betting exchange?

Via Max Keiser, Trader Daily ($$$):
Hollywood Ending – Trader Daily – October 4, 2007 – by Robert LaFranco
A decade ago, a Wall Street trader and an L.A. dealmaker united to remake the movie industry in the image of the markets. They had capital, ambition, securities-industry savvy and an American public captivated by money and celebrity. [...]

The definitive proof that Emile Servan-Schreiber, the NewsFutures CEO, is an essential part of the world-wide conspiracy aiming at silencing BetFair.

[This post is filed in the "humor" category, of course. ]

Take a look at the blogroll of the NewsFutures blog, which cites everybody but BetFair:
Recent Posts
UC Riverside’s eLab eXchange : featuring Competitive Forecasting and Idea Pageants
Demise of a Sarko Killer
Results of the Dutch Political Stock Market
Los Angeles conference on collective intelligence networks
Washington DC [...]

August 6, 2001: Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US.

Note: This blog post is filed in the “forecasting” and “accuracy” categories.

New York Times – Anonymous Editorial:
[...] The Bush team was so busy in 2001 trying to upend America’s global relationships according to a neo-conservative agenda that the then national security adviser, Condoleezza Rice, did not see any urgency in reports that Al [...]

BUSINESS EXECUTIVE HAS BEEN EMPLOYED FOR THREE YEARS IN THE US TO LAY GROUND FOR A FUTURE, LEGAL BETFAIR’S DISEMBARKATION ON AMERICA’S COASTS.

Meet the InTrade-TradeSports Terminator.
WORLD-WIDE WEB EXCLUSIVE. — PLEASE, CREDIT “MIDAS ORACLE” FOR THE SCOOP. — FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Christian Hellmers’ profile at LinkedIn:
Christian Hellmers
Director of US Business Development, Betfair
Greater San Diego Area
Current
* Director of US Business Development at Betfair Limited
Past
* Manager, International Retail Strategy at DivX Networks, Inc.
* Consultant at HP Authority
* Business Development [...]

Oscars 2007 – Hollywood Stock Exchange – Bingo!

HSX Amy Lamare:
Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX.com) Traders correctly picked 7 out of 8 Top Category Oscar Winners to continue its stellar record.
Los Angeles, California, February 26, 2007 -
Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX), announced a spectacular 88% success rate for picking this year’s Oscar winners. The world’s longest continuously operating commercial prediction market and popular online game [...]

Great City Group Blogs

A short note to tip you about a set of great city group blogs I have just found out. (City blog = a blog that focuses on the big and small news about one city.)
Austin – Boston – Chicago – Houston – London – Los Angeles – New York City – Paris – Philadelphia – [...]

Hollywood Stock Exchange’s Alex Costakis makes historical mistake, TOO.

History of the Hollywood Stock Exchange:
June 2006:
Hollywood Stock Exchange launches the Sports Stock Exchange® with special securities covering the 2006 FIFA World Cup.
April 2006:
HSX Research wins contract for building Storage Markets, an innovative prediction market platform providing insight into the data storage industry.
January 2006:
HSX Research introduces Long Lead Box Office Forecasts, a report series providing [...]

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