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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; London</title>
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	<description>Prediction Markets, etc.</description>
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		<title>Jean-Michel Jarre&#8217;s 1986 huge concert in Houston, Texas + Jean-Michel Jarre&#8217;s 1988 epic concert in London&#8217;s Docklands, U.K. + Jean-Michel Jarre&#8217;s 1981 historic concerts in China. &#8212; [VIDEO]</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/09/09/jean-michel-jarre-concerts-houston-texas-london-docklands-china-moscow/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/09/09/jean-michel-jarre-concerts-houston-texas-london-docklands-china-moscow/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Sep 2011 12:27:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Films - Movies]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Don&#8217;t miss the laser harp: Click on &#8216;More&#8217; for the rest of the post (plenty of rare Jarre concert videos). And now, the concert he did in London with Lady Di in attendance: The 1981 concerts in China (where he &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/09/09/jean-michel-jarre-concerts-houston-texas-london-docklands-china-moscow/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don&#8217;t miss the laser harp:</p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/a6LPKgzegYI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Click on &#8216;More&#8217; for the rest of the post (plenty of rare Jarre concert videos).</p>
<p><span id="more-26723"></span></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/-HYJGx7cYg4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Ls8ZRqEGSRo" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>And now, the concert he did in London with Lady Di in attendance:</p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/_C_V54y5RLs" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/V7lePUxe2p8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/dJFvrOscybc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/xhrOkO3naaI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/QuaI5aNpT7s" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/pH2UxxdXAfg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/nz1cEO01LLc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/tR8Zed01Zh8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/9liayzUgt2U" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>The 1981 concerts in China (where he was the first Western musician to perform since the revolution):</p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/THqrf3Epy-k" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/EaKu7QZXkAg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/wumW4FEjlO0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/o8q4U8nAEXU" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/6m3q9nedmSM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/jQL1Vw8hw4g" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/1DupepVClew" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><iframe width="640" height="510" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/pNsKDuerTcw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>John Cleese: London is no longer an English city. &#8212; [VIDEO]</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/09/04/john-cleese-london-is-no-longer-english-city-video/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/09/04/john-cleese-london-is-no-longer-english-city-video/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Sep 2011 20:43:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Britain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[English]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Great Britain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Cleese]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[People]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Kingdom]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=26685</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><iframe width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/mmRFkBISRi8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The government lies. The banks steal. The rich laughs. &#8212; [STREET ART]</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/08/19/the-government-lies-the-banks-steal-the-rich-laughs-street-art/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/08/19/the-government-lies-the-banks-steal-the-rich-laughs-street-art/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2011 09:17:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Art]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[anti-capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank of England]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=26468</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[2009&#8242;s G20 Protest Graffiti &#8211; Bank of England &#8211; London, U.K.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2009/04/02/g-20-protests-continue-but-tensions-ease/">2009&#8242;s G20 Protest Graffiti &#8211; Bank of England &#8211; London, U.K.</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/suburbanslice/3408358467/sizes/l/in/photostream/"><img src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/The-government-lies-The-banks-steal-The-rich-laughs-G20-Protest-Graffiti-Bank-of-England-London-England.png" alt="" title="The government lies - The banks steal - The rich laughs - G20 Protest Graffiti - Bank of England - London, England" width="1021" height="767" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-26474" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/suburbanslice/3408358467/sizes/l/in/photostream/"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-26469" title="Graffiti sur un mur de la Banque d'Angleterre" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/Graffiti-sur-un-mur-de-la-Banque-dAngleterre.jpg" alt="" width="600" height="330" /></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
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		<title>Paris, Barcelona, Berlin, St. Petersbourg, Shanghai, Tokyo, New York and London &#8212; [VIDEO]</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/03/21/paris-barcelona-berlin-st-petersbourg-shanghai-tokyo-new-york-and-london-video/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2011/03/21/paris-barcelona-berlin-st-petersbourg-shanghai-tokyo-new-york-and-london-video/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Mar 2011 18:01:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Art]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barcelona]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=23873</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><iframe title="YouTube video player" width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/kmgzxQ18fec" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>BetFair set a price range for its initial public offering on the London Stock Exchange at $17.48 to $22.25 a share, valuing its equity at up to $2.35 billion.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/10/07/betfair-ipo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/10/07/betfair-ipo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Oct 2010 08:36:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[BetFair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair IPO]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=21795</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;The wide price range, for an equity value between Â£1.16 billion and Â£1.48 billion, reflects mixed views on the company&#8217;s prospects for growth in countries with strict regulations on gambling, such as the U.S., and for its new financial-trading platform, &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2010/10/07/betfair-ipo/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704696304575537293393089952.html?mod=rss_markets_main">&#8220;The wide price range, for an equity value between Â£1.16 billion and Â£1.48 billion, reflects mixed views on the company&#8217;s prospects for growth in countries with strict regulations on gambling, such as the U.S., and for its new financial-trading platform, LMAX.&#8221;</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Anish Kapoor at London&#8217;s Royal Academy of Arts</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/23/anish-kapoor-at-the-royal-academy-of-arts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2009/09/23/anish-kapoor-at-the-royal-academy-of-arts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2009 09:51:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Art]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=17314</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blog.visitlondon.com/2009/09/anish-kapoor-at-the-royal-academy-of-arts/"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-17315" title="Anish_Kapoor_London" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/Anish_Kapoor_London.jpg" alt="Anish_Kapoor_London" width="549" height="671" /></a></p>
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		<title>What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about &#8220;event markets&#8221; (prediction markets)</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/16/intrade-cftc/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/16/intrade-cftc/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jul 2008 21:01:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[All Best Posts Ever]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) &#8211; (InTrade PDF file &#8211; CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/16/intrade-cftc/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) &#8211; (<strong><a href="http://www.intrade.com/news/misc/CFTC_Intrade_Comment_Reg_Treatment_Event_Mkts.pdf">InTrade PDF file</a></strong> &#8211; <a href="http://www.cftc.gov/stellent/groups/public/@lrfederalregister/documents/frcomment/08-004c014.pdf">CFTC PDF file</a>):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">July 4th 2008<br />
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission<br />
Three Lafayette Centre<br />
1155 21st Street NW<br />
Washington, DC 20581<br />
U.S.A.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Attention: Office of the Secretariat</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">RE: â€œConcept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contractsâ€</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">To Whom it May Concern:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">It is an honour for me as Chief Executive Officer of Intrade the Prediction Market Limited (â€œIntradeâ€) to provide <strong>price discovery information</strong> on thousands of event markets free of charge to notable institutions such as yourselves at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the U.S. Navy, the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Richmond, and Chicago, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, the American Enterprise Institute â€“ Brookings Joint Centre, CATO Institute, and the Bank of England. We have similarly supplied our price discovery event market information to political organisations, students and staff at every Ivy League College, and students and staff at over 50 universities worldwide.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">We estimate that over <strong>300 global media businesses</strong> such as The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, Chicago Tribune, Economist, Bloomberg, Reuters, Forbes, Time, Fortune, CNN, CNBC, Fox, ABC and others have used Intrade event market information.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Investment firms on Wall Street, and the other major financial centres of the world, have solicited and been provided with Intrade price discovery event market information. The above lists are not exhaustive.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Further, Intrade provides <strong>free real-time</strong> transparent price discovery event market information to millions of people from the general public. While Intrade serves a global community and has registered members from 162 countries, our <strong>82,000 plus membership are predominantly resident in the United States.</strong> The predictive probability information on event markets that we supply to the general public is both <strong>intuitive</strong> and readily and rapidly assimilated without the necessity for paid subscriptions or a financial education.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Intrade has been transparent and industrious, as have others, in nurturing the development of the event market industry. <strong>Intrade as a profit-maximizing business</strong> does of course expect to significantly benefit from its dedicated employment. However the benefits to society at large will be equivalently great from Intradeâ€™s focus on event markets.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">While U.S. institutions and society benefit from Intradeâ€™s services <strong>it is perversely unclear as to whether Intrade, and indeed myself, are considered persona gratis by the United States. </strong>However, we are more optimistic than ever that Intrade as <strong>the de facto leader in the event market industry</strong> sector will soon have the ability to stand on a firm, transparent and appropriate regulatory footing thanks to the process that the CFTC has accelerated through their request for comments on how to regulate event markets.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Not since the Industrial Revolution have <strong>the risks</strong> and their commensurate opportunities of dealing with great uncertainty and rapid change that we all face been so high. Much of this change and uncertainty is technology driven, with most countries, organizations and households accepting, in theory at least, that they must change.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The recent implosion of credit markets is just one example of the great uncertainty and potential for events impacting citizens of the United States and farther afield.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>To adapt to a changing world in an orderly and optimal manner requires access to information, robust decision-making processes and the courage and determination to grasp the opportunities that a dynamic world offers.</strong> The CFTC and indeed the United States itself has access to the information, the decisionmaking expertise, and a historical track record of determination and accomplishment.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">But the relentless change that we all face will be best dealt with if we have the best information, in real time, to <strong>reduce uncertainty, risk and stress. </strong>Event market information can and has increased the quality and timeliness of decision-making. Event markets can act as <strong>a democratic mechanism</strong> that gives voice to the broadest range of event stakeholders and, in so doing, <strong>aggregates a peerless information set.</strong> By encouraging the aggregation, distribution, validation and appropriate use of the best event market information, <strong>society will benefit</strong> even more than it does today from event markets. To do otherwise than to encourage event market development would be a societal travesty.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The dynamic nature of the world that we live in, where the pace and systematic impact of change seem to be increasing, will be greatly aided if event markets are given a certain regulatory footing in the United States and other jurisdictions. This, coupled with the fact that<strong> markets excel in aggregating information and estimating the value of a product or the likelihood of an event occurring</strong>, testifies to the logic that <strong>the price discovery</strong> that event markets produce should now be encouraged by the CFTC.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The CFTC by clarifying the status of event markets now will be of great service to Americans. In this regard the CFTC has an important opportunity and one that the CFTC seem very positively biased to grasp in light of its statements, such asâ€¦<br />
- The CFTC state on their website that they have â€œAn Important Mission in the Ever-Changing World of Finance.â€<br />
- â€œThe CFTC assures the economic utility of the futures markets by encouraging their competitiveness and efficiency.â€<br />
- â€œThe CFTC is also mandated to enable futures markets to serve the important function of providing a means for price discovery and offsetting price risk.â€</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">CFTC Acting Chairman Walt Lukken, when announcing the execution of a memorandum of understanding with the SEC on March 11, 2008, stated: â€œThe regulatory structure that oversees the U.S. financial markets <strong>embrace innovation</strong>, growth and competition in the global marketplace, without compromising market integrity, customer protection and the public good.â€</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The above statements, in addition to the Concept Release by the CFTC, are very encouraging. It is specifically <strong>this price discovery and risk management</strong> mandate that justify the CFTCâ€™s embrace of event markets, should justification be needed.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Intrade has listed 211,607 individual event markets</strong> and aggregated and distributed predictive event market information on subjects such as Arctic Oil Drilling, Climate Change, Commodities, Company Earnings, Constitutional Referenda, Currencies, Disease Outbreaks, Earthquakes, Economic Numbers, Entertainment Awards and Earnings, Indices, Euro Adoption, Federal Reserve Announcements, Gas Prices, Gasoline Tax, Geo Political Events, Homeland Security in the U.S., Mergers &amp; Acquisitions, Social Security Reform and U.S. Taxes. This list is far from exhaustive.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>No other platform has listed more event markets than Intrade.</strong> To the best of our knowledge and belief the event market leadership position that is often ascribed to Intrade is wholly justified from a review of the breadth of the event markets listed and information we have aggregated and distributed. Information, as noted above, that is used by governmental agencies, businesses, academics, and the general public to reduce uncertainty and in so doing increase the speed and quality of decisions being made.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">While the obvious benefits to the general public in terms of <strong>price discovery</strong> and decision-making of some Intrade event markets will be more obvious than others, we can make robust arguments that all have the potential to serve <strong>the dual purpose of price discovery and a mechanism for offsetting price risk.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The CFTC by clarifying its position on event markets will give all event market stakeholders valuable direction on market and participant eligibility. Whether used at the federal government level or by the individual citizen, event markets provide a magnificent opportunity to use <strong>price discovery information in managing economic risk. </strong>Here are just a few examples from the 211,607 event markets we have listed.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Intrade has listed markets on the probability of <strong>the Homeland Security alert level</strong> being above or below a certain level at a certain date. â€œThe United States spends roughly $100 billion per year on homeland securityâ€ according to the White House. The costs of migrating from a threat level of â€œGuardedâ€ to a threat level of â€œElevatedâ€ have very significant costs for the government, business, and society. By utilizing event market price discovery information on the probability that the alert level will be at a certain threshold on a given date, the economic consequences of the threat level can be managed in a more insightful way.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Jason Ruspini has suggested markets to Intrade on whether<strong> the marginal personal income tax rate for single U.S. filers will be equal to or greater than a range of specified percentages for tax years 2009, 2010 and 2011.</strong> Having spoken directly to a number of tax paying citizens from the United States, the transparency of this information undoubtedly serves a public good. Is there a Unites States resident taxpayer who will read this comment who is not interested in the taxes she or he will pay next year?</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">On a more macro level, Intrade has listed a market on whether <strong>the cold fusion experiment of Dr. Yoshiaki Arata</strong> will be replicated in a peer-reviewed scientific journal before 31 December 2009. The possible impact of such a development to our energy needs little hyperbolae. The fact that President Bush requested $25 billion for the U.S. Department of Energyâ€™s 2009 Budget speaks to the importance of maximum transparency in such matters. It may also be interesting to note that $493 million of the $25 billion was allocated to Fusion Energy Services. Does transparency to such price discovery information serve positively the United States and others? Absolutely!</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Professor Koleman Strumpf suggested that Intrade list a market on <strong>whether Blu-Ray Disc sales will outnumber HD-DVD disc sales in the United States in 2008. </strong>If an organisationâ€™s employees or profits are potentially influenced by the outcome of this event, as were Toshibaâ€™s, the main supporter of HDDVD, then access to such information is both valuable and gives opportunity for welfare maximisation.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Intrade has also listed, at the request of University of Westminster Business School, markets on <strong>whether the number of violent crimes committed in 2010 will be lower than those committed in 2007.</strong> Intrade has additionally listed at the request of a United States resident member of our platform a market on the impact of U.S. Government debt if a non-Democrat is elected president of the United States in 2008.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>Professor Eric Zitzewitz, Professor Robin Hanson, Professor Justin Wolfers </strong>and others at the forefront of event market academia have all suggested event markets to Intrade in the past that have been listed and which provided event market information both for academic study and business and general public use.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Imagine if you were a resident of a state such as Florida that is frequently exposed to <strong>severe storms</strong> and how crucial information on the likelihood of a storm hitting your state can be if your business, family and friends are likely to be impacted by such an occurrence. Intrade lists event markets on such<br />
eventualities.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The event markets listed on Intrade provide price discovery information on whether an <strong>earthquake</strong> measuring 9.0 or more on the Richter Scale will happen anywhere in the world in 2008; whether <strong>Avian Flu H5N1</strong> is confirmed in the United States in 2008; whether the U.S. carries out an overt <strong>attack on North Korea; </strong>or even whether <strong>Robert Mugabe</strong> departs his presidency in 2008. These significant events are highly relevant to millions of people in the United States and elsewhere.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">President Bush stated in an address on global climate change that: â€œThis is a challenge that requires a 100 percent effort; ours, and the rest of the world&#8217;s.â€ It seems to us impossible to make a â€œ100 percent effortâ€ to address the challenge of <strong>climate change</strong> without using event markets to aggregate information, such as that provided by Intradeâ€™s market on <strong>whether 2008 will be one of the warmest years ever recorded.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>All of the markets cited above give information on the probability of the event occurring.</strong> <em>Some of the information aggregated and distributed by Intrade has been more predictive than other</em>. The predictive accuracy of Intradeâ€™s event markets and event markets generally have been cited and studied extensively by academics and others including, but not limited to Professor Robin Hanson, Professor Charles Noussair, Professor David Paton, Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams, Dr. David Pennock, Professor Eric Zitzewitz, Professor Mark Perry, Professor Erik Snowberg, Professor Marco Ottaviani, Professor Justin Wolfers, Professor Koleman Strumpf, and Professor Paul Tetlock.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Nearly all leading academics, not known for their attraction to unanimity, have publicly supported event markets. A great majority of these academics have been supplied with Intrade market data in the past, a service that Intrade intends to continue, for all study leads to an increase in transparency and understanding of event markets. <strong>It seems that the leading event market academics make no distinction between the benefits derived from academic owned markets like Iowa Electronic Markets and commercial market platforms like Intrade.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><a title="What the American Enterprise Institute Told The CFTC" href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/17/aei-legalize-prediction-markets/">Yet many academics, with some notable exceptions, do temper their policy prescription to suggest</a><strong><a title="What the American Enterprise Institute Told The CFTC" href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/17/aei-legalize-prediction-markets/"> a â€œsafe harborâ€ for academic sites where research might be more generally available</a>.</strong> As noted above <strong>Intrade has gladly supplied its event market data, typically free of charge to most of the leading prediction market academics</strong> and their students, and we are committed to encouraging the future study of event markets by continuing to supply our event market data free of charge or at very deep discounts. The academics that study event markets do a great service in developing our understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of event markets. Some commentators suggest that <strong>market liquidity</strong> and breadth typically benefit all event market stakeholders. <strong>Thus far commercial platforms like Intrade seem to be providing the greatest depth and breadth in event markets.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">As Intrade has been a staunch supporter of event market academic study, and supplies greater depth and liquidity in its event markets than any other platform, it seems strange not to be <strong>a preferred purveyor.</strong> Perhaps the predominant reason <strong>many academics have held back from advocating</strong> and treating all event markets alike is a sense that initiatives to clarify or unwind the legislation restraining the optimal development of event markets is <strong>unlikely to be achievable. </strong>It seems many academics and commentators suggest a slow bureaucratic and pragmatic caution rather than focus on the optimal result. <strong><em>While the optimal result may be more challenging to achieve, for consistency, for better price discovery for the benefit of all, as well as for the development of Intrade</em>, we encourage CFTC to apply common goals, objectives and standards for all participants.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">While some evidence and event markets have highlighted that event markets do not always provide robust predictive information, the preponderance of the research suggests that event markets have both the ability and track record of providing <strong>the best available information upon which decisions may be based or optimised. </strong>Of course the uncertain regulatory status of event markets constrains the development of liquidity, price discovery and by logical extension societal benefits.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Intrade has received testimonials from numerous U.S. regulated businesses and private citizens which state they would like to trade on certain event markets but are unable due to the regulatory uncertainty. Therefore, unless and until event markets are given a certain status they will not develop to their full potential.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Based on the above and comments by many others, some of whom have been mentioned by name in this comment, the <strong>price discovery</strong> mandate that the CFTC has can only be served if event markets are embraced.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;"><strong>In terms of offsetting price risk and the opportunity for hedging, the overwhelming majority of markets listed by Intrade can easily be seen to have underlying economic implications and risks. </strong>For example, U.S. tax rate changes, a negative geopolitical event, an increase in the threat level to homeland security and the associated costs of a higher threat level, or indeed Social Security reform all have massive economic justifications across society.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">As with the CFTCâ€™s price discovery mandate, it is impossible for us to imagine how risks can be optimally assessed and managed without the status of event markets being clarified.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The CFTC are also sensitive to retaining <strong>the competitiveness of futures markets</strong> and retaining â€œcompetition in the global marketplaceâ€. There has been much written about the United States losing its edge in global financial markets. Often cited is that burdensome and inflexible regulations, most notably the Sarbanes-Oxley legislation passed by Congress in 2002, are driving business to London, Hong Kong, Frankfurt and elsewhere. In this regard, the CFTC has an opportunity to be a world first and embrace event markets. In so doing the CFTC will ensure the United Statesâ€™ leadership position is encouraged for the important and growing event market industry.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The greatest challenge in bringing about an appropriate and successful embrace of event markets by the CFTC is unlikely to be identifying and agreeing that the public good will be served, or that risks may be better managed. The challenge for the CFTC may well be the uncertainties relating to legal and jurisdiction issues. In these matters there are experts far better versed than Intrade to opine.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">The financial events of the last six months in which virtually the entire world financial system stopped functioning to a greater or lesser extent has highlighted what can happen when many of the world&#8217;s largest financial institutions make concurrent similar mistakes. Such systemic contagion has led commentators to suggest a more fundamental approach to how and what we regulate. Where event markets are concerned we are hopeful that this is the case and that <strong>the level of regulation is such that the evolving stage of the event market industry is not stifled.</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">We are proud to be at the forefront of the development of the event market industry. We are determined to continue providing the best information on relevant event markets to the widest audience. We wish to solidify our regulatory position in the U.S. and elsewhere. <strong>We strongly encourage the CFTC to clarify the situation with regard to event markets for the benefit of all, even if there are costs to Intrade.</strong> We are highly optimistic that the CFTC will grasp this opportunity to benefit all society and we wish to serve our own most important role in an industry niche that we have been privileged to help shape.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">Respectfully Submitted on behalf of the entire Intrade Team by<br />
John Delaney<br />
Chief Executive Officer</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">CC to Fax 202.418.5521 and e-mail: secretary@cftc.gov.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">1. â€œIntrade â€¦ isn&#8217;t just an entertaining Web site. It is the latest iteration of one of the most important economic developments of modern times.â€ David Leonhardt, Economics Reporter, The New York Times, February 14, 2007</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">2. Costs of regulation are high in the U.S., â€œthat&#8217;s a key reason the leading commercial prediction market, Intrade, is based in Irelandâ€ Prof Paul Tetlock, Wall Street Journal, May 11th 2007</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">3. â€œOn Dec. 11, 2003, Intrade&#8217;s contract on Saddam Hussein&#8217;s capture suddenly began to move. â€¦ Two days later, Saddam was in custody.â€ Bill Saporito, Time Magazine, October 24, 2005</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">4. â€œAt FORTUNE we often write about the latest hot company, but itâ€™s rare that we get a chance to introduce you to an entirely new marketâ€¦ Intrade is the only efficient market system around for investing in, well, almost anythingâ€ Andy Serwer, Managing Editor, Fortune, August 8, 2005</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">5. 78% of traffic to Intrade.com in the period 1 January to 30 June was from the U.S.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">6. â€œIntrade futures market ~ the greatest time-saving invention of this century.â€ John Tierney The New York Times</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">7. The Uncertainty Stress Scale: its development and psychometric properties. Can J Nurs Res. 1994 Fall;26(3):15-30, PMID: 7889446</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">8. As of June 30 2008</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">9. For many people, Intrade is the king of the prediction markets.â€ Stephen Dubner, Freakonomics, The New York Times July 5 2007</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">10. <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/homeland/book/sect5.pdf">http://www.whitehouse.gov/homeland/book/sect5.pdf</a>.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">11. <a href="http://feedroom.businessweek.com/?fr_story=5a3aa8086dbd52b35ae21c7f5abe94f85fa0a8ab&amp;rf=sitemap">http://feedroom.businessweek.com/?fr_story=5a3aa8086dbd52b35ae21c7f5abe94f85fa0a8ab&amp;rf=sitemap</a>.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">12. <a href="http://www.energy.gov/news/5920.htm">http://www.energy.gov/news/5920.htm</a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">13. â€œWant straight answers on what will happen in politics and current events? Answers without partisan bias or wishful thinking? You can&#8217;t do much better than the prices at Intrade.â€ Professor Robin Hanson, Professor of Economics, George Mason University</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">14. â€œMy forecast? Prediction markets will become ever more important to business and public policy. And Intrade are running the most interesting markets around.â€ Professor Justin Wolfers</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">15. <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2001/06/20010611-2.html">http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2001/06/20010611-2.html</a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">16. â€œAnalysts can debate about a recession as much as they want, but talk is cheap. Itâ€™s great to have [Intrade] futures trade where people put money behind their beliefs!â€ Professor Mark J. Perry, University of Michigan-Flint</p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">17. <a href="http://www.international-economy.com/TIE_Sp07_Baker.pdf">http://www.international-economy.com/TIE_Sp07_Baker.pdf</a> and <a href="http://knowledge.emory.edu/article.cfm?articleid=1015">http://knowledge.emory.edu/article.cfm?articleid=1015</a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">18. <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120605716375753327.html?mod=opinion_main_commentaries">â€œRegulatory Underkill,â€ Arthur Levitt Jr., Wall Street Journal, March 21, 2008</a></p>
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<p>NEXT: <a title="Transparency is an Imperative, but so are Speed, Access and Understanding." href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/10/14/transparency-is-an-imperative-but-so-are-speed-access-and-understanding/">More from John Delaney about regulations</a></p>
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		<title>Malta Lotteries And Gaming Authority: the non-regulating regulator</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/04/malta-lotteries-and-gaming-authority-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/04/malta-lotteries-and-gaming-authority-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jul 2008 15:24:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Caruso</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Malta Lotteries And Gaming Authority is the governmental body whose job it is to oversee and regulate all gambling operations located in Malta. The 2004 Remote Gaming Regulations represents the governing legislation, and it includes the following encouraging clause: &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/07/04/malta-lotteries-and-gaming-authority-2/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <a href="http://www.lga.org.mt">Malta Lotteries And Gaming Authority</a> is the governmental body whose job it is to oversee and regulate all gambling operations located in Malta. The <a href="http://www.lga.org.mt/lga/files_folder/Remote%20Gaming%20Regulation,%202004.pdf">2004 Remote Gaming Regulations</a> represents the governing legislation, and it includes the following encouraging clause:</p>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>The Authority may order the suspension or cancellation of a license if&#8230;the license holder has failed to meet commitments to players.</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<p>This is important, because the ultimate purpose of any gambling regulatory organisation is to ensure protection of its licensees&#8217; customers, the players.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>On the face of it, this appears to be a pretty serious organisation; it&#8217;s a governmental body, and one located within the European Union as opposed to some Caribbean or Costa Rican outpost; it&#8217;s got a snappy <a href="http://www.lga.org.mt/lga/home.asp">website</a> whose <a href="http://www.lga.org.mt/lga/contacts.aspx">contacts page</a> lists an email address for player complaints; the LGA also moves on the international circuit: they attended the <a href="http://www.ateshow.com/104/481/1143/">2008 International Casino Exhibition</a> in London this year, and will be attending the <a href="http://www.eigexpo.com/2008/index.cfm?page=exdir&amp;type=a">European iGaming Congress and Expo</a> in Barcelona in a few months. It&#8217;s fair to say that the LGA folk don&#8217;t exactly hide away behind closed doors.</p>
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<p>So, does the LGA ensure that its licensees &#8220;meet commitments to players&#8221;?</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>No.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>In fact, the Malta Lotteries And Gaming Authority appears to do nothing whatsoever for the players.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>As reported in the Malta Independent Online &#8220;<a href="http://www.independent.com.mt/news.asp?newsitemid=22723">Gamer demands Â£66,000 payout</a>&#8221; report, and discussed in reasonable detail at the <a href="http://mb.winneronline.com/showthread.html?t=21744&amp;page=1&amp;pp=10">Winneronline forum</a>, in late 2005 a player racked up Â£66,000 of winnings at Malta-based operation &#8220;Bingos&#8221;, which the casino subsequently refused to pay, citing &#8220;software error&#8221;. The LGA initiated an  investigation, and along the way reported that there was no software error. Beyond that, they made no ruling; rather extraordinarily, they told the player to take legal action against the operator in Malta, and apparently offered some guidance with this task.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Before the matter came to trial, and after the player had spent a lot in legal fees, the casino in question offered a payment settlement which the player accepted. This would almost certainly have come with a non-disclosure agreement, as the player made no further comment and the exact final details were never reported.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Why did the player have travel to Malta and take expensive legal action?  And why did the LGA advise him to do this while they were still &#8220;investigating&#8221;? A regulator&#8217;s job is to investigate a case and rule on it, not encourage the complainant to sort it out himself at his own expense while their investigation is ongoing.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>This is not regulation, this is passing the buck &#8211; and it&#8217;s grossly unprofessional and unacceptable. The LGA has at its disposal the right to suspend or revoke licenses &#8220;if the license holder has failed to meet commitments to players&#8221;. They have absolute power in this regard. Yet, they prefer to let the player divest them of their responsibilities and do nothing of value.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>All that said, at least in the above case the LGA appeared active to a degree. More recently, even this has been almost totally absent.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>A year ago, in July 2007, sportsbook &#8220;Betchance&#8221;, LGA license Class 2 no. 189, started showing signs of trouble &#8211; voided bets, delayed payments, bizarre excuses, general lack of communication, promises of payment from &#8220;new investors&#8221;. In short, Betchance was in financial strife. Players complained to Bill Dozer at <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/">Sportsbook Review</a>, and you can read a summary of the unfolding story on his <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/SR.aspx?s=betchance">Betchance news page</a>.  Bill&#8217;s most recent comment, as good an overall summary as any, reads thus:</p>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>Betchance is no longer pretending to take bets or allowing players to look at their balance. The book&#8217;s homepage gives players the message that the &#8220;operation is suspended for technical problems&#8221; and it &#8220;apologizes for any inconvenient..&#8221; The Malta-licensed sportsbook baited players with large deposit bonuses and advantageous lines and pricing. Some players have been pursuing their funds from betchance for nearly one year. History suggests, despite what betchance offers or arranges with players, the book will continue to stall and will not pay. Multiple players have stated that their opinion is the book will only pay if somehow leveraged to do so by The Lotteries and Gaming Authority of Malta and will hold out hope for their full balance. The LGA issued small payments to players on behalf of no-pay sportsbook Playbanks in March, months after the book had closed.</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<p>The Betchance issue is also documented by <a href="http://www.bookmakersreview.com/">Bookmakers Review</a> &#8211; the full list of Betchance articles can be found on the <a href="http://www.bookmakersreview.com/Ratings_History/Betchance_update/10112/">Betchance update</a> page. Some of the comments bear quoting, if nothing else for their amusement value:</p>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>Betchance told us &#8220;not to make a fuss out of nothing.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<p>Followed by:</p>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>Betchance informs its customers to be in negotiations with new investors, practically admitting being broke.</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>The LGA tells Bookmakers Review that new shareholders have been officially approved and they have now provided capital to BetChance. &#8220;The situation will really be solved in the next few days,&#8221; said a spokesperson for the LGA. [24 October 2007]</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<p>Followed by:</p>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>A Russian player received an e-mail from a representative of betchance.ru saying that it will take four more weeks to get paid as the company is trying to obtain a bank loan. [2 November 2007 - what was that from the LGA about resolution "in the next few days"?]</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>Betchance has apologized for the delayed payments claiming that all problems have now been solved. [February 2008]</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<p>Followed by:</p>
<p>-</p>
<blockquote><p>Three months after scam bookmaker BetChance said all problems had been resolved, players who have been waiting up to 8 months to get paid continue to be feeded with the usual worthless babble that all payments will be made within few days.</p></blockquote>
<p>-</p>
<p>Now take a look at the <a href="http://cert.lga.org.mt/">LGA licensees page</a>, and select &#8220;class 2&#8243;.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Betchance is still fully licensed by the LGA. The license has not even been temporarily suspended &#8211; an entire year has gone by in which Betchance has &#8220;failed to meet commitments to players&#8221;, the reason given for which the LGA may revoke or suspend licenses.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Yet they have done nothing.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>I will briefly mention one more case, in which I am involved myself. The full details can be found in my <a href="http://www.hundredpercentgambling.com/2008/03/interwetten-confiscation-of-more-than.htm">Interwetten: confiscation of more than Â£5000</a> article. Several other players have posted mirror complaints in the <a href="http://www.casinomeister.com/forums/casino-complaints-bonus-issues/23088-interwetten-confiscating-winnings.html">Interwetten confiscating winnings</a> discussion at Casinomeister.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>In summary, Interwetten offered a very generous bonus promotion, which they subsequently claimed was a &#8220;mistake&#8221;, in spite of the fact that the promotion played out exactly as it had been advertised.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>The complaint was initiated four months ago. I have, to date, received two communications from the LGA: one form response, and a subsequent acknowledgement of receipt of the complaint. The latter was received after a flurry of complaints about the LGA&#8217;s lack of response in the Casinomeister discussion, and it seems at least two other players received the same response at the same time as I did.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Beyond that, the silence from the LGA has been total.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Could there be an explanation for the LGA&#8217;s complete failure to do anything for its licensees&#8217; players?</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>CEO Mario Galea joined the LGA in 2004. Previous to this he was owner of <a href="http://www.bellmed.net/index.htm">Bell Med</a>. Bell Med is the company which supplies hosting facilities to online gambling operations in Malta &#8211; see the <a href="http://www.bookmakersreview.com/c/News/02-03-2007_Reputable,_responsible,_secure/">Bookmakers Review</a> article on the matter.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Mario Galea sold his shares in Bell Med four months after being appointed to the LGA.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Why did he not sell them before being appointed? The conflict of interests is very clear: as owner of BellMed, Galea received fees from those same companies that his new company sought to regulate.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Even after selling his shareholding in BellMed and apparently divesting himself of all interest in the company, the fact remains that Galea is still in charge of regulating companies with which he had, at one time, a business relationship. It&#8217;s one thing removing a technical conflict of interest, but the human factor remains: one is &#8220;regulating&#8221; ones former colleagues and business partners. This is an absurd situation: why appoint to the top position of a regulatory operation the one person more closely associated than anyone with the operations to be regulated?</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>One final points bears adding to the mix: according to sources at <a href="http://www.bookmakersreview.com/">BookmakersReview</a>, I can reveal that as late as last year, people on location in Malta alleged that Mario Galea was still very much involved with BellMed. I cannot corroborate this myself, but have permission from BookmakersReview to quote them.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Either way, in or out, there is a clear conflict of interests at work here.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Why do the people of the Malta Lotteries And Gaming Authority do nothing for their licensees&#8217; customers?</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>Presumably because they simply don&#8217;t want to.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;</p>
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		<title>The CFTC extends its regulatory arm to&#8230; the City of London.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/24/the-cftc-extends-its-regulatory-arm-to-the-city-of-london/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/24/the-cftc-extends-its-regulatory-arm-to-the-city-of-london/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jun 2008 14:15:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CFTC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CFTC Commissioner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodity Futures Trading Commission]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[derivative exchanges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy products]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[laws]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London Loophole]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil derivatives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the Financial Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[work-able regulatory solution]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A CFTC Commissioner in the Financial Times: So what effects do the Durbin legislation and the CFTC regulatory action have? Are they the kind of &#8220;excessive&#8221; regulation contemplated by the Balls Clause? Given the circumstances of the trading activity and &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/24/the-cftc-extends-its-regulatory-arm-to-the-city-of-london/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a title="Why the London loophole should be closed" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/79c2d516-4185-11dd-9661-0000779fd2ac.html?nclick_check=1"><strong>A CFTC Commissioner</strong> in the Financial Times</a>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 180px;">So what effects do the Durbin legislation and the CFTC regulatory action have? Are they the kind of &#8220;excessive&#8221; regulation contemplated by the Balls Clause? Given the circumstances of the trading activity and entities involved, and the tailored approach to a work-able regulatory solution, the answer would appear to be No. The proposals are intended to provide authority to the US commodities regulator over US individuals trading certain products on a foreign board of trade. <strong>The idea is to ensure that foreign markets offering contracts that mirror energy products traded on US exchanges should have the same transparency requirements as the US market.</strong> The Durbin legislation would give the CFTC the ability to exercise power over <strong>manipulation, speculation and record-keeping</strong> by US citizens and instructs the US regulator to assess the foreign regulator&#8217;s ability to apply comparable regulatory principles prior to granting relief from US regulatory requirements. Similarly, the CFTC&#8217;s action would condition access to US customers on the ICE&#8217;s adoption of position limits and accountability levels on the WTI contract.</p>
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		<title>Tiny API delay for non-UK customers of BetFair &#8212;since all international BetFair bettors, traders and gamblers are now served from Malta, not from London.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/20/betfair-api-delays/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/20/betfair-api-delays/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2008 14:11:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Software]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[API]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[API delays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair Casino]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair Games]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair multiples]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair Poker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair's non-UK customers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Malta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Malta's Lotteries and Gaming Authority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Clare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Kingdom]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[- BetFair Games, BetFair Poker, BetFair Casino, BetFair Multiples, and all non-UK BetFair customers (including those trading on BetFair&#8217;s prediction exchange), are under the radar of Malta&#8217;s Lotteries and Gaming Authority. (As you all know, Malta is a state that &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/20/betfair-api-delays/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malta"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7084" title="malta_eu_europe" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/malta_eu_europe.png" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><a href="http://www.betfaircorporate.com/servlet/HsPublic?context=ir.static.jsp&amp;client=betf&amp;path=util&amp;service=getPage&amp;page=corporate_overview">BetFair Games, BetFair Poker, BetFair Casino, BetFair Multiples, and <strong>all non-UK BetFair customers (including those trading on BetFair&#8217;s prediction exchange)</strong></a><strong>, are under the radar of Malta&#8217;s <a href="http://www.lga.org.mt/">Lotteries and Gaming Authority</a>.</strong> (As you all know, Malta is a state that is a member of the European Union.) I <a title="Is Malta's Lotteries and Gaming Authority a serious governmental body?" href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/05/29/malta-gaming/">told you</a> I would have a short post on the API delay for BetFair&#8217;s non-UK traders. Here&#8217;s what I gathered.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>BetFair have indeed imposed a small amount (I heard a figure of <strong>120 micro-seconds</strong>) of additional latency in the delivery of their API feeds served to non-UK customers. The move from London to Malta was motivated by regulatory concerns (it has to do with checking IDs).</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>I asked whether that API delay (which could accumulate, I feared) was hurting their international customers&#8230;</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><strong>Tony Clare (of <a title="Betting Exchange based in the UK" href="http://betfair.com/">BetFair</a>):</strong></p>
<p style="padding-left: 150px;">We&#8217;ve seen no evidence to suggest that the changes we have made in the processing of bets placed by non-UK customers have had any detrimental affect on their experience when using Betfair, nor have we seen any shift at all in the profitability of UK customers vs. non-UK customers as a result. There are many factors that will determine the time taken from submission of a bet request to confirmation of the bet&#8217;s status being received, and the majority of those will be dependent on the customer&#8217;s own set-up and the precise routing of traffic across the Internet.</p>
<p>-</p>
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