Tag Archives: leader

Here’s an example of the total crap that the BetFair blog is publishing.

BetFair blog: Pamela Anderson’s Poker Guru PAMELA Anderson says she is “done with the marriage thing”. Pammy is divorcing her third husband. The marriage lasted four months. Says Pammy: “My mom wishes I was born gay”. She adds: “I am … Continue reading

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Yes, Virginia, BetFair does organize socially valuable prediction markets in UK politics.

Mike Smithson’s effort is paying off. Here are the BetFair political prediction markets: Cabinet Exit Dates Chancellor Foreign Secretary Home Secretary Cabinet Specials Next Chancellor Next Foreign Secretary Next Home Secretary Next Prime Minister Leader Exit Dates David Cameron Gordon … Continue reading

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InTrade expired the Larry Craig prediction market too early.

Scroll down the whole story and judge by yourself, folks. — New York Times: “As he stated on Saturday, Senator Craig intends to resign on Sept. 30,” Mr. [Dan Whiting, a spokesman for Mr. Craig] said in a statement. “However, … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Chris Masse is bull-shitting. On the paper, NewsFutures is OBVIOUSLY the market leader.

That’s what all the people thought, after I published my ranking. The NewsFutures clients: The world’s largest steel maker. CORNING Display Technologies. Japan’s largest advertising firm. Hungary’s leading news weekly. Voted “most innovative” pharmaceutical company in Fortune‘s 2003 and 2004 … Continue reading

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BRITISH POLITICS: BetFair has set up some brand-new prediction markets.

July By Elections Ealing Southall Sedgefield Leader Exit Dates David Cameron Gordon Brown Menzies Campbell Next General Election Election Date Most Seats (Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats) Overall Majority (No Overall Majority, Conservative Majority, Labour Majority, Any Other Party Majority) — … Continue reading

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United Kingdom Politics – Next Labour Leader

BetFair prediction market settled Winner: Gordon Brown

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Bertie Ahern was re-elected Ireland’s premier, extending his 10-years in power and clearing the way for a broadly based coalition government.

Wall Street Journal – $$$ It’s a three-party government. Bloomberg: The Fianna Fail leader, 55, secured enough parliamentary support to be voted in as taoiseach, as the prime minister is known in Irish, after reaching deals with the Green Party, … Continue reading

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RAND CORPORATION, the world’s most prestigious think tank, is a NewsFutures client.

NewsFutures’ clients: The world’s largest steel maker. CORNING Display Technologies. Japan’s largest advertising firm. Voted “most innovative” pharmaceutical company in Fortune‘s 2003 and 2004 rankings. The US packaged foods giant. Giant U.S. Pharmaceutical. Leading provider of objective analysis and effective … Continue reading

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Ireland’s 2007 General Election: BetFair vs. InTrade-TradeSports

- InTrade-TradeSports offers only two sets of prediction markets: on the next coalition (if any) and on the next Prime Minister. Volumes are thin. – BetFair offers two sets of prediction markets on the 2007 General Election (“Electoral Turnout” on … Continue reading

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INFORMATION DISCOVERY SOFTWARE: How to manage large amounts of financial information

Inxight: Founded in 1997, Inxight is the leader in federated search, high-fidelity extraction and visualization, enabling enterprise, government, and OEM customers to discover, organize, and understand information contained in unstructured text in all major languages. Inxight solutions allow its customers … Continue reading

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