Tag Archives: Labour Party
Justin Wolfers Country has turned Left… as predicted by the prediction markets.
The Washington Post on Australia’s November 2007 political elections.
The prediction market charts below were taken a bit before the close of the Australian polling stations, last Saturday.
BetFair (on Australia’s Labor Party, which ended winning):
BetFair had a complete set of Australian political election prediction markets:
InTrade-TradeSports:
Prediction Markets on the 2007 Australian Federal Election
Google has opened a new webspot for the 2007 Australian Federal Election. Bo Cowgill should tell them to add prediction markets to their website.
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Labor Party
Static Chart:
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Labor Party
Dynamic Chart:
Static Chart:
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No Australian election prediction markets at NewsFutures…
Will the Scottish People choose Independence??
BetFair prediction markets on the Scotland elections taking place this Thursday, May 3, 2007. (For your information, InTrade-TradeSports has no liquidity on the Scotland prediction markets. Also, note that there is also an election in Wales, but the betting markets don’t give the first fig about it.)
- This early morning, the BetFair prediction markets are [...]
Is the Gordon Brown prediction market being manipulated at BetFair?
Political blogger Mike Smithson (ex-BBC News) thinks that it has been the case lately.
His criteria: Number one, when the Gordon Brown contract price becomes cheaper, other contracts (for the Labor party leadership) don’t get a boost. Number two, the price changes while no political news would affect the contract. Number three, each time its price [...]
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