Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Koch professor of economics

Faulty polls screw up the political prediction markets. – REDUX – The “no polls” case, now.

Two days ago, I stated brashly that political prediction markets aggregate the polls, mainly. (Mike Linksvayer nuanced my propos, in the comment area.)
GOP Keeps Senate, Loses House, Betting Site Says. – [US political prediction markets] – by Ronald Kessler – 2006-10-24
One theory is that prediction markets are influenced by the results of opinion polls. But [...]

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