Tag Archives: KING

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: “Concept Release … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

What I think of Robin Hanson’s comment to the CFTC… and what I think about his slam at TradeSports-InTrade, BetFair-TradeFair, and HedgeStreet.

Overall, his input is very brainy. It’s a major contribution to the general discussion about prediction markets. – Please, allow me to disagree on one thing he said. – Robin Hanson: One proposed distinguishing criteria includes the size of an … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 14 Comments

The definitive proof that it’s presently impossible to practice prediction market journalism with BetFair.

- Unlike InTrade and NewsFutures, BetFair does not deliver any chart after that the prediction market has expired —leaving the blog post that linked to it totally blank (in a digital world where old content is King, and where Google … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Newspapers publish static charts, which quickly become obsolete —in a Google world where old content is King.

- News papers deserve to die. Newspapers = dinosaurs. -

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

BetFair-TradeFair (slightly) improve their blog, finally (it was about time) —and open 2 new sections: “prediction markets” and “financials”.

Here’s the vertical menu of the BetFair blog. Scroll down until you see “Politics”, and “Prediction Markets”. – - Here’s their section on politics: – Here’s their section on finance: – - My thoughts: Their “about” page still does not … Continue reading

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Michael Bloomberg: I’m not running… but, beware, I am a King maker.

- Michael Bloomberg: I listened carefully to those who encouraged me to run, but I am not — and will not be — a candidate for president. [...] If a candidate takes an independent, nonpartisan approach — and embraces practical … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

InTrade’s global warming prediction markets are more socially interesting than BetFair’s ones.

InTrade has just opened (and not publicized yet on their site feed) a set of global warming prediction markets —more exactly, event derivative markets on whether the world’s biggest national governments will soon agree to reduce CO2 emissions under the … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Great podcasts on information technology

Random Bits Podcasts – Among others: Matt Mullenweg, WordPress Founder Alex King, Designer, Developer, WordPress Guru Craig Newmark, Craigslist Founder, Community Builder, Entrepreneur plus many more… Alex King’s advice to companies: Don’t let the person who writes the press releases … Continue reading

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

J.K. Rowling’s The Deathly Hallows = Harry Potter MUST Die! + Harry Potter Must NOT Die!

Associated Press: [...] “If you look at the tradition of the epic hero… there is this sort of pattern that the hero delivers people to the promised land but does not see it himself,” said Lana Whited, professor of English … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, History, Market Prices & Probabilities, Psychology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Tools for the active trader looking for sophisticated options trading and forecasting techniques.

VIDEO: Trade King co-founder Peter Seed interviewed by Money Show. Two interesting aspects of the interview: – the financial technicalities of options trading (the probability calculator and the profit and loss calculator); – their trader community used as a marketing … Continue reading

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment