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	<title>Midas Oracle .ORG &#187; Ken Livingstone</title>
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		<title>Londoners (among them many faithful Midas Oracle readers) go voting today. Spot, in the first chart, that British political betting expert Mike Smithson serves some (IMPLIED) PROBABILITIES EXPRESSED IN PERCENTAGES to his readers &#8212;and not those fu***ng fractional odds, or those equally fu***ng digital / decimal odds.</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/05/01/next-mayor-london-2008/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/05/01/next-mayor-london-2008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 May 2008 07:07:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Prices & Probabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bath]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boris Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bristol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[decimal odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[event derivative markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[event derivatives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fractional odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ken Livingstone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mayor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Robb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Smithson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[percentages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probabilities]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=6771</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[- Boris Johnson, next mayor of London: - RELATED: BetFair&#8217;s &#8220;percentage vote share&#8221; prediction markets are illiquid, alas. - BetFair blog&#8217;s London page &#8212; Tabloid style. I don&#8217;t like it much. I think politics should be treated more seriously. Mike &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/05/01/next-mayor-london-2008/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2008/05/01/the-money-piles-on-boris/"><img title="The money piles on Boris Johnson" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/chart-may-1-london-mayor.jpg" alt="The money piles on Boris Johnson" /></a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><strong>Boris Johnson, next mayor of London:</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=20690681&amp;ex=1&amp;origin=MRL"><img src="http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com/betting/LoadRunnerInfoChartAction.do?marketId=20690681&amp;selectionId=1138501&amp;asianLineId=0&amp;logarithmic=true" alt="BetFair" width="350" height="255" /></a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p>RELATED: <a href="http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=20969721&amp;ex=1&amp;origin=MRL">BetFair&#8217;s &#8220;percentage vote share&#8221; prediction markets are illiquid</a>, alas.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><a href="http://betting.betfair.com/mayor/">BetFair blog&#8217;s London page</a> &#8212; <strong>Tabloid style.</strong> I don&#8217;t like it much. I think politics should be treated more seriously.<a href="http://betting.betfair.com/mayor/"><br />
</a></p>
<p><a href="http://betting.betfair.com/specials/politics-betting/mike_robb/index.html"><strong>Mike Robb&#8217;s index page</strong> &#8212;maybe he&#8217;ll publish something new today (if he finds inspiration after a good Guinness)</a>.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>MORE INFO: I read a story on Slate, yesterday, about the London mayoral race, but it was overall uninteresting. Also, I haven&#8217;t spotted any New York Times stories on that election, lately, that I could recommend to you. So, you&#8217;re left with digging <strong><a title="london johnson livingstone" href="http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&amp;tab=wn&amp;ned=us&amp;q=london+johnson+livingstone&amp;btnG=Search+News">Google News</a></strong>, if you want more to read.</p>
<p>-</p>
<p>PERSONAL NOTE: I enjoyed London and the Londoners, last year. Was my first time there. (Knew well Bristol and Bath, for years.) Can&#8217;t wait returning to London.</p>
<p>-</p>
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		<title>How BetFair screw up the &#8220;Next Mayor Of London&#8221; embeddable, enriched, compound chart widget &#8212;BIG TIME</title>
		<link>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/23/how-betfair-screw-up-the-next-mayor-of-london-embeddable-compound-enriched-chart-widget-big-time/</link>
		<comments>http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/23/how-betfair-screw-up-the-next-mayor-of-london-embeddable-compound-enriched-chart-widget-big-time/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Apr 2008 23:50:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris F. Masse</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Exchanges & Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Software]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BetFair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boris Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Central Park]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chart widgets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dynamic charts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[embeddable compound chart with news markers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GBP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homer's brain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ken Livingstone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mayor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mayor of London]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[news markers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction market data visualization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reading]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=6710</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[- PUT YOUR MOUSE CURSOR ON ONE OF THE WHITE DOTS PRESENT ON THE CHART, AND SPOT THE POP-UP MESSAGE. - IF YOU&#8217;RE READING THIS FROM WITHIN YOUR FEED READER, GO TO THE BLOG POST, ON THE MIDAS ORACLE WEBSITE, &#8230; <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/23/how-betfair-screw-up-the-next-mayor-of-london-embeddable-compound-enriched-chart-widget-big-time/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="350" height="280" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="id" value="KenVBoris" /><param name="align" value="middle" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="sameDomain" /><param name="quality" value="high" /><param name="bgcolor" value="#ffffff" /><param name="src" value="http://betfair.del.co.uk/KenVBoris.swf" /><embed id="KenVBoris" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="350" height="280" src="http://betfair.del.co.uk/KenVBoris.swf" bgcolor="#ffffff" quality="high" allowscriptaccess="sameDomain" align="middle"></embed></object></p>
<p>-<br />
<strong>PUT YOUR MOUSE CURSOR ON ONE OF THE WHITE DOTS PRESENT ON THE CHART, AND SPOT THE POP-UP MESSAGE.</strong><br />
-<br />
<strong>IF YOU&#8217;RE READING THIS FROM WITHIN YOUR FEED READER, <a href="http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/04/23/how-betfair-screw-up-the-next-mayor-of-london-embeddable-compound-enriched-chart-widget-big-time/">GO TO THE BLOG POST, ON THE MIDAS ORACLE WEBSITE</a>, BECAUSE THE BETFAIR CHART WIDGET IN QUESTION DOESN&#8217;T APPEAR IN THE FEED.</strong><br />
-<br />
-<br />
1. The chart should output the market-generated, implied probabilities expressed in percentages &#8212;not <strong>those damn decimal/digital odds.</strong> (Actually, Boris Johnson is <em><strong>ahead of</strong></em> Ken Livingstone.)<br />
2. The news markers were filled by <a href="http://www.nypost.com/seven/04192008/news/regionalnews/kinky_news_networkcnns_quest_a_very_knot_107174.htm">RIchard Quest</a>, last week-end, during his Central Park escapade, it seems. <img src='http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif' alt=':-D' class='wp-smiley' />  &#8230; I mean, these comments were <strong>written <a href="http://betting.betfair.com/mayor/">in a tabloid way</a>.</strong><br />
3. The blogger who would embed this compound chart would like to write <strong><em>his/her own</em> news markers.</strong><br />
4. Clicking on the &#8220;Â£25 free bet now&#8221; area, at the right lower corner, <strong>did <em>not</em> open any new browser tab</strong> showing the BetFair website because my browser, Mozilla FireFox, &#8220;prevented this site from opening a popup window&#8221;.<br />
5. The chart widget shows up <a href="http://www.midasoracle.com/">on the webpage</a>, but <strong>not in the feed</strong> &#8212;most of the blog readership happens in feed readers, nowadays. Just below is a screen shot of the feed of the <a href="http://www.midasoracle.com/">Midas Oracle .COM</a> blog, where I published one blog post with the BetFair chart widget, and another blog post with the inTrade chart widget. <a href="http://www.google.com/reader/view/feed/http://www.midasoracle.com/feed/">As you can plainly see</a>, the InTrade chart widget can be consumed thru a feed reader, while the BetFair one can&#8217;t. (You don&#8217;t see that on the screen shot below, but, for your information, all InTrade chart widgets can be seen in a feed reader, including the InTrade <em>compound</em> chart widgets.)</p>
<p>-</p>
<p><a href="http://www.google.com/reader/view/feed/http://www.midasoracle.com/feed/"><img title="london-mayor-betfair-versus-intrade" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/london-mayor-betfair-versus-intrade.jpg" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>-</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homer_simpson"><img title="Homer\'s brain" src="http://www.midasoracle.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/homer-brain.jpg" alt="Homer\'s brain" /></a></p>
<p>-</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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