Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Keith Anderson

Putting the prediction markets under the big “crowdsourcing” tent

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 21, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Via Keith Anderson (Senior Analyst at RNG)
Chapter 7 – What the Crowd Knows: Collective Intelligence in Action – by Jeff Howe
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He is a Wired journalist.
I prefer stuff written by economists like Robin Hanson, Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz, Koleman Strumpf, David Pennock, etc.
What’s the point of having the mainstream media journalists writing their own stuff when [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Keith Anderson’s got some good DATA VISUALIZATION links for you.

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 28, 2008 — 1 Comment

http://infosthetics.com/
http://flowingdata.com/
http://www.visualcomplexity.com/vc/
http://benfry.com/writing/
http://www.formfollowsbehavior.com/
http://dd.dynamicdiagrams.com/
http://blog.many-eyes.com/
http://datamining.typepad.com/data_mining/
http://simplecomplexity.net/
http://leebyron.com/how/
http://eagereyes.org/
http://accuracyandaesthetics.com/
http://www.juiceanalytics.com/writing/
http://diuf.unifr.ch/people/bertinie/visuale/
http://well-formed-data.net/
http://www.numberpix.com/
http://www.mentegrafica.it/blog/
http://junkcharts.typepad.com/junk_charts/
http://informationandvisualization.de/
http://designnotes.info/
http://perceptualedge.com/blog/
http://shiffman.net/
http://abeautifulwww.com/
http://makingmaps.wordpress.com/
http://www.bestiario.org/blog/
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(Via Tom Carden)
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Keith Anderson (Senior Analyst at RNG)
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Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Information Technology, Resources - References | Also tagged , , , ,

Sermo harvests the wisdom of… physicians.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 12, 2007 — 1 Comment

Via Keith Anderson, Sermo:

Posted in Resources - References

NewsFutures quit advertising on Google Search.

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 25, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Only Consensus Point remains an advertiser on Google Search.
Keith Anderson’s PC (which has a North-American IP number) shows two more advertisers, HSX and Inkling Markets:

Posted in Consulting, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Software | Also tagged

Harry Potter will die not die in the final book –The Deathly Hallows.

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 4, 2007 — 1 Comment

Harry Potter Full Coverage on Yahoo! News
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–> Keith Anderson tips me that at MSNBC’s iPredict, it’s 50/50. Keith remarks that MSNBC should have used a prediction exchange… Right. [Psstt… Keith is clairvoyant. One big media company is currently working on a play-money prediction exchange for this summer or next fall.)
–> NewsFutures: Ouch, there’s a slight [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , ,

MIT’s CCI seminar on Monday, May 14, 2007: Justin Wolfers, Prediction Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 11, 2007 — 2 Comments

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities – Paper: PDF file
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MIT Center for Collective Intelligence:
CCI Spring 2007 Seminar Series
All seminars will be held in NE20-336 (3 Cambridge Center).
CCI seminars are on Mondays and Thursdays during the spring semester of 2007
- Mon Mar 5, 4:00-5:30 Richard Hackman and Stephen Kosslyn, Harvard University, Brains and Groups: Findings from [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Hollywood Stock Exchange vs. Fantasy Moguls

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 28, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Hollywood Stock Exchange vs. Fantasy Moguls
Tech Crunch:
[...] Atomic Moguls has launched FantasyMoguls.com, which is essentially a fantasy league for movies. You can draft movies and earn points based on how well they do at the box office, number of weeks in the top 5, per-theater average, and their IMDb review score (IMDb is Amazon.com owned). [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged , , , ,

Predicting World Cup results: Do goals seem more likely when they pay off?

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 21, 2007 — Leave a Comment

The discreet Keith Anderson writes to me about a good paper he has read.
Predicting World Cup results: Do goals seem more likely when they pay off? – by Maya Bar-Hillel
Center for the Study of Rationality, The Hebrew University at Jerusalem
A paper by Maya Bar-Hillel of The Hebrew University at Jerusalem reviews suggested instances of wishful [...]

Posted in Economics | Also tagged , , , ,

Slate’s 2008 Political Futures = Aggregator of Prediction Markets on US Politics

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 20, 2007 — 1 Comment

Via reader Keith Anderson, Slate’s 2008 Political Futures.
Prediction exchanges featured:
- InTrade
- Iowa Electronic Markets
- Casual Observer
Previous Slate Page: Slate’s 2006 Political Futures

Posted in Resources - References | Also tagged ,

TechCrunch lists the Y Combinator Companies…

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 9, 2006 — Leave a Comment

… but leaves out Inkling Markets.
Addendum: I’m a decerebrated idiot.
Chris,
Just saw your post about Techcrunch omitting Inkling from their list of Y Combinator companies. I quickly noticed the same thing, but after re-reading the post, it looks like Techcrunch was only covering “the last batch of Y Combinator companies” and not providing a comprehensive list [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged

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