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Tag Archives: Kansas City
The best researchers on prediction markets
CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading
Posted in People, Resources - References
Tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling
- Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton
- James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan
- Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski
- Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand
- Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow
- Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce Berg, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage
- Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica
- Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian
- Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode
- Paul Rhode, W. Ross
- Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager
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Presentation of Private Prediction Markets’ Legality Under U.S. Law
Koleman Strumpf has tapped me to discuss the legality of in-house prediction markets, tomorrow, at the Conference on Corporate Applications of Prediction/Information Markets, at the Kauffman Foundation Conference Center, in lovely Kansas City, MO. I call my presentation, Private Prediction … Continue reading
Reminder: Corporate Applications of Prediction Markets Conference (1 November)
The conference will be held next Thursday (1 November) at the Kauffman Foundation in Kansas City. All of the details are available on the conference webpage (http://people.ku.edu/~cigar/PMConf_2007) and the schedule is listed below. I am pleased to note that Mat … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings
Tagged AEI-Brookings Joint Center on Regulatory Studies, Alexander Costakis, Arizona, Best Buy, Brookings Institution, CEO, Chapman University School of Law, Christina Ann LaComb, Co-Founder and CEO, Co-Founder and President, Consensus, David Perry, Dawn Keller, Department of Economics, Director, Discussion, Eller College of Management, Eric Zitzewitz, Founder and CEO, General, George Mason, George Mason Department of Economics, Google, Henry Berg, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, InTrade, Jim Lavoie, John Delaney, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kellogg, Managing Director, Marco Ottaviani, Mat Fogarty, Microsoft, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, President, Rite, Robert E. Litan, Robin Hanson, School of Management, Senior Fellow, Tom W. Bell, University of Arizona, VP Research and Policy, Xpree, Xpree Inc
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If there is one event to attend in 2007, the Koleman Strumpf conference on prediction markets is the one.
I’ve been thinking a bit about the different upcoming conferences on prediction markets, and it seems to me that the Koleman Strumpf conference stands out of the pack, because of its format. It casts, in a series of 4 successive … Continue reading
Posted in Events & Meetings
Tagged California, company manager, Kansas, Kansas City, New York, New York City, Santa Clara, United States, Yahoo!
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Upcoming Events
— Consensus Point’s conference on prediction markets – @ New York City, New York, U.S.A. – 2007-09-24 What Have We Learned from Market Design? – @ Yahoo! Research Silicon Valley, Santa Clara, California, U.S.A. – 2007-10-15 Koleman Strumpf’s conference on … Continue reading
Posted in Events & Meetings
Tagged California, Kansas, Kansas City, New York, New York City, Santa Clara, United States, Yahoo!
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BetFair accurately predicted the direction of the interest rate change, but was too shy in its prediction of the amplitude of the interest rate change.
BetFair predicted: -0,25 The Fed decided: -0.50 That’s for the absolute accuracy. Now, what counts is the relative accuracy —the comparison between the prediction made by BetFair and the predictions made by the financial markets experts. I see that the … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Ben S. Bernanke, Bloomberg, Board of Governors, Boston, chairman, Charles L. Evans, Cleveland, Donald L. Kohn, Eric Rosengren, Federal Open Market Committee, Federal Reserve System, Felix Salmon, Frederic S. Mishkin, Kansas City, Kevin M. Warsh, Minneapolis, New York, Niall O'Connor, Randall S. Kroszner, San Francisco, St. Louis, Thomas M. Hoenig, Timothy F. Geithner, Vice-Chairman, Wall Street, William Poole
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BetFair predicts: US Federal Funds Rate = 5%
What will be the change in US Federal Funds Rate at this month’s scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting? FOMC – September FOMC Current Rate 5.25% . – 0.25 UPDATE: BetFair accurately predicted the direction of the interest rate … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Ben S. Bernanke, Bloomberg, Board of Governors, Boston, chairman, Charles L. Evans, Cleveland, Donald L. Kohn, Eric Rosengren, Federal Open Market Committee, Federal Reserve System, Felix Salmon, FOMC, Frederic S. Mishkin, Kansas City, Kevin M. Warsh, Minneapolis, New York, Niall O'Connor, Randall S. Kroszner, San Francisco, St. Louis, Thomas M. Hoenig, Timothy F. Geithner, Vice-Chairman, Wall Street, William Poole
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Here’s your host. – Kansas City conference on prediction markets – November 1, 2007
Koleman Strumpf, the host of the Kansas City conference on prediction markets – November 1, 2007