Tag Archives: journalist

The John Edwards Non-Affair… is making Memeorandum (twice), again.

Slate’s Jack Shafer (my favorite libertarian journalist –both small “L” and capitalized “L”): [...] visiting the woman who recently gave birth to the out-of-wedlock child of a married campaign aide is completely OK. But meeting her at a Beverly Hills … Continue reading

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Max Keiser’s politics is controversial. But, as a journalist, he is a genius. Market-based probabilistic predictions (whether it’s play money or real money) are now part of his daily punditry toolbox.

Max Keiser looks at what the prediction markets are predicting the outcome will be at the Geneva talks on the Doha Round. Here’s the link to the HubDub prediction market which Max Keiser plugs in this video segment. -

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Forecasting Principles should index BusinessWeek.

Andreas Graefe, Please, index the BusinessWeek news article (see the page #2, too) on your IIF webpage. – I believe it’s an Earth-shattering piece featuring major thinkers of the field of prediction markets, who were interviewed by that bright journalist … Continue reading

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The NewsFutures website has been revamped —well, very superficially.

They just changed the layout of their website and of their blog. Same content —and same reliance to, what Jakob Nielsen calls, “marketese”. Triple alas. – Emile Servan-Schreiber says smart things to journalists —but, unlike Adam Siegel, he is incapable … Continue reading

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Journalists and bloggers have difficulty discovering the full URLs (the “deep links”) of the BetFair prediction markets.

It’s well hidden. You have to go on the right side of one prediction market, click on “Rules”, and spot the deep link at the bottom of the text. – - Spot the mentions of TradeSports and BetFair at the … Continue reading

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If the British legal betting companies offer bets on the sport, it is because there is demand for bets on the sport —and if that demand were not offered in a regulated environment, it would be filled in an unregulated one (like what we see with TradeSports-InTrade and MatchBook in the US market).

Mark Davies of BetFair (PDF file): International Leaders in Sport conference, Auckland, New Zealand. April 3-4th 2008. Keynote speech, April 4th. Mark Davies, Betfair. “New Understandings in Sports Betting” Minister, ladies and gentlemen… Thank you very much for your kind … Continue reading

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Video on InTrade’s political prediction markets

- Via Yahoo! Research scientist David Pennock (pictured in the video, with, in the background, a whiteboard full of complex mathematical equations, which impressed the young New York Post journalist)… this New York Post video (embedded just below). – - … Continue reading

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I’m a big believer in the market, that it is the best way of aggregating information. Due to the law of supply and demand and profit-seeking, it has a better idea of what a price should be than any other way of determining prices.

Brian Shiau (of The Sim Exchange) interviewed by Reuters. Shiau hired an analyst, Jesse Divnich, to help interpret the exchange’s data and provide commentary. Jesse Divnich’s research reports I like that. I think it should be made a rule that … Continue reading

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Set up a blog, get yourself a mobile video phone, and, hop, you’re a journalist competing with CNN, CNBC, MSNBC, FBN, and the BBC.

IT blogger Robert Scoble (on the left), holding his Nokia, interviewing Michael Dell at Davos (WEF): Michael Arrington of TechCrunch took the pic. — Here’s a Davos video taken with a mobile video phone:

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Amateur and Professional Bloggers vs Professional Journalists

Felix Salmon (the best finance blogger on Earth): [...] It’s true that blogs are capable of bringing down politicians, just like newspapers. But financial blogs don’t have anything like the same kind of influence that the big political blogs have, … Continue reading

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