Tag Archives: James Annan

The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

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A climate scientist takes a close look at InTrade’s global warming prediction markets…

Climate scientist James Annan: What odds a hot 2008 About 20%, if you just want the executive summary (at least, that is the market “consensus”). If you want the details, read on… Via Chris Masse at Midas Oracle, I see … Continue reading

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What does climate scientist James Annan think of InTrade’s global warming prediction markets?

Wanna know? Simple: ask him about those. Which I did. Hmmm…. that is interesting, but an annual prediction is closer to weather forecasting than global warming. Jan and Feb are already v cold so a low price is probably fair … Continue reading

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Forget Al Gore. It’s James Annan who won the 2007 Nobel Peace prize.

James Annan: So apparently “the IPCC” has won the Nobel Peace Prize. Al Gore got the Fiction Prize. According to the BBC, the IPCC is “Made up of more than 2,000 of the world’s leading climate experts“. I don’t know … Continue reading

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Global Cooling – Global Warming – Global Cooling

Timothy Ball: Since I obtained my doctorate in climatology from the University of London, Queen Mary College, England my career has spanned two climate cycles. Temperatures declined from 1940 to 1980 and in the early 1970′s global cooling became the … Continue reading

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North Korean Missile contract expiry.

Climate expert James Annan has just mentioned the Seal Level Rise prediction market, at Foresight Exchange, and here’s what I read: Judge’s Statement Standard ambiguity clause: If the wording is found to be ambiguous the Panel will judge on the … Continue reading

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James Annan on Midas Oracle

Two words to introduce Doctor James Annan to the Midas Oracle readers who have just surfaced from an Afghan cave. – James Annan is an eminent British climate scientist, currently working in Japan. – Wikipedians view him as a notable … Continue reading

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Check out this great science blog… (and PM conf report)

… Cosmic Variance, which discusses a recent economics-vs-physics issue published on Robin Hanson’s group blog, Overcoming Errors dot com —where the main error is to invite blablating philosophers and not meta-thinking physicists. While you are at it, also check climate-expert … Continue reading

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