Tag Archives: Iraqi government

Austan Goolsbee on Iraq and the Collective Wisdom of Bond Markets

Austan Goolsbee, writing in the New York Times, discusses Michael Greenstone’s paper (discussed here at Midas Oracle in September) that examines the market for Iraq’s bonds for an assessment of the long-term future of the Iraq government. Goolsbee’s quick conclusion: … Continue reading

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Extracting Market Predictions from Financial Data: Is the ‘Surge’ Working?

At Economist’s View, Mark Thoma draws attention to a recent paper that uses financial markets data to infer a market prediction of the likely effectiveness of the U.S. government’s ‘Surge’ strategy in Iraq. In “Is The ‘Surge’ Working? Some New … Continue reading

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The US president argued today that an Al Qaeda-affiliated group in Iraq is linked tightly to the central Al Qaeda leadership.

Larry Downing / Reuters — George W. Bush is an imbécile. Who created ex nihilo this Iraq mess? — George W. Bush to be impeached by House of Representatives before end of his term in office — Static chart: — … Continue reading

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Plenty of new socially valuable prediction markets at InTrade.

InTrade seems to take its role as market leader for US political prediction markets very seriously. Since its official splitting with TradeSports, InTrade has opened many interesting prediction markets on legal, political and geo-political issues. — National Leader Departure Markets: … Continue reading

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