Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: InTrade trader

What I mean by “advanced” and “retarded”

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 7, 2008 — Leave a Comment

- An event is “advanced” when it is before the others on the timeline.
- An event is “retarded” when it is after the others on the timeline.
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- I use the term “advanced, primary indicator” to talk about the leading sources of information that active traders rely on.
- Last time, in the title, I said that [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Miscellaneous, Psychology, Science | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Robin Hanson fanboy and InTrade trader Patri Freidman’s outing —as one of the “sexiest geeks alive”

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 17, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Via ValleyWag
His latest venture — His “sexy geek” profile
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Patri Firedman’s website
As you all know, Patri Friedman set up Google’s internal prediction exchange —with Bo Cowgill.
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Posted in People | Also tagged , , , , , , ,

Seriously, why aren’t more people talking more about this?

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 13, 2007 — 9 Comments

Asks the InTrade trader Alex Forshaw about the probable (not a sure thing, though) manipulation of the Hillary Clinton prediction market.
Previous: There’s a deep-pocket Clinton pal who is pushing her event derivative way up. + Who could have masterminded the alleged manipulation of the Hillary Clinton prediction market??? + The Hillary Clinton manipulation stories

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged ,

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