Tag Archives: International Journal of Forecasting

The best research papers on prediction markets

Posted on June 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

As seen by Andreas Graefe… IIF’s SIG on Prediction Markets Research Papers Basics Several studies explain the concept of prediction markets and provide useful summaries of the method, e.g. – Spann, M. & Skiera, B. (2003). Internet-based Virtual Stock Markets … Continue reading →

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Combining forecasts

Posted on January 7, 2007 by James Hamilton

I have been suggesting that the best statistical approach, when confronted with conflicting signals such as the employment estimates from the BLS payroll survey, the separate BLS household survey, or the huge database from the private company Automatic Data Processing, … Continue reading →

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Software Programs for Forecasting + Vertical Directories

Posted on December 14, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Since the field of forecasting does indeed encompass prediction markets, I would suggest to the prediction market software vendors to try to get indexed in this directory, Forecasting Principles. (There aren’t many software packages listed, I’m a bit surprised.) The … Continue reading →

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