Tag Archives: institution designer

“I am much more aligned with InTrade than you are, Chris.”

Posted on February 15, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

That came from a margin trader [*] and prediction market blogger. Well, if you practice (amateur or professional) journalism (which blogging is), then I don’t see how you can be interesting to your audience if you are “aligned” with one … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged blogging, Cav, Caveat Bettor, designer, event derivative markets, event derivatives, executive, great amateur prediction market journalist, independence, institution designer, Journalism, margin trader, Mike Smithson, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, web editor | 3 Comments

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

Posted on May 25, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Bruke Hansen: [...] The day concluded with three papers covering prediction markets, the first by Robin Hanson, the world’s leading proponent of prediction markets and former head of DARPA’s notorious “terror casino”. Robin Hanson – futarchist, cryogenic enthusiast, and all … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta) | Tagged Baptist, decision tool, head, Inkling, institution designer, Justin Wolfers, Microsoft, preacher, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, US DoD | Leave a comment

2006 North Korea Missile prediction market: a scandal signed TradeSports-InTrade

Posted on April 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Did BetFair mess the expiry of the 2006 US Senate prediction markets?… UK blogger Mike Smithson thinks so. Anybody who had money on last Novemberâ€™s US MidTerms Senate market with Betfair will know what happens when the rules are not … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged Barry Ritholtz, CEO, CEO of managing TradeSports-Intrade, Chris Masse, Donald Luskin, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Independent Betting Arbitration Service, institution designer, Ireland, John Delaney, John Maloney, Labour MP, main media, Mike Smithson, Netherlands Antilles, Nick Palmer, North Korea, prediction markets, Rachel King, Robin Hanson, Senate, sportsbook, The Netherlands Antilles, Trader, United Kingdom, United States, United States Senate, US MidTerms Senate, USD | 2 Comments

Why are prediction markets not “as common as economists might expect”?

Posted on November 7, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Professor Tyler Cowen of Marginal Revolution wrote (with in mind, probably, his old blog post about internal prediction markets): The costs of building coalitions are also a neglected element in the theory of organizations. Even in the private sector, once … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged Delphi, economist, Guy Kawasaki, Hawaii, Hawaii islands, institution designer, Pacific Ocean, prediction markets, Professor, Robin Hanson, Tyler Cowen | Leave a comment

Tag Archives: institution designer

“I am much more aligned with InTrade than you are, Chris.”

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications

2006 North Korea Missile prediction market: a scandal signed TradeSports-InTrade

Why are prediction markets not “as common as economists might expect”?

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