Midas Oracle .ORG » Institute for the Future http://www.midasoracle.org Prediction Markets, etc. Mon, 13 Feb 2012 22:24:30 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 The SuperStruct Game = the world’s first massively multiplayer forecasting game http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/09/25/the-superstruct-game-the-world%e2%80%99s-first-massively-multiplayer-forecasting-game/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/09/25/the-superstruct-game-the-world%e2%80%99s-first-massively-multiplayer-forecasting-game/#comments Thu, 25 Sep 2008 21:07:10 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=9884 The SuperStruct Game

FAQ

YouTube video

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Tip via our good doctor Pennock of YooPick fame.

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]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/09/25/the-superstruct-game-the-world%e2%80%99s-first-massively-multiplayer-forecasting-game/feed/ 0 Inkling Markets’ Advisory Board… which does not want to tell its name http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/23/inkling-markets-advisory-board/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/23/inkling-markets-advisory-board/#comments Mon, 23 Jun 2008 12:20:53 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=7318 Continue reading →]]> Via Daniel Horowitz (Business and Technology Consultant)

Inkling Markets’ Advisory Board (curiously named “Friends Of Inkling”):

  1. Bo Cowgill, Google Inc. — Product developer, expert on decision markets for Google; creator of Google’s prediction market and co-author of Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence From Google.
  2. George Gendron, Clark University — Founder and director of the Innovation and Entrepreneurship Program at Clark University; former Editor-in-Chief of Inc. magazine.
  3. Our Michael Giberson. :-D — His recently updated website states: *Update:* Beginning in August, 2008, Michael Giberson will be joining the faculty of the Center for Energy Commerce in the Rawls College of Business, Texas Tech University.
  4. Bob Johansen, Institute for the Future — Author of Get There Early: Sensing the Future to Compete in the Present and six other books; Distinguished fellow and former CEO of Institute for the Future (IFTF), a Palo Alto based think tank that does ten-year forecasting.
  5. Jane McGonigal, PhD, renowned gaming developer — Award-winning innovative game designer, researcher and analyst. MIT Technology Review named her as one of the top 35 innovators changing the world through technology.
  6. Russ Roberts, management consultant and professor, Northwestern University — A strategy and organization effectiveness consultant and professor at the Kellogg Graduate School of Management at Northwestern University.
  7. Philip Rosedale, Linden Lab / Second Life — Founder and chairman of Linden Lab, creator of the acclaimed 3D virtual world Second Life. In 2007, he was listed among Time Magazine’s 100 Most Influential People in the world.

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]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/23/inkling-markets-advisory-board/feed/ 1 The purpose of X2 is to identify future disruptions, opportunities, and competitive landscapes related to the content and dynamics of global science and technology innovation; to develop a new platform for understanding global innovation trends; and to present this information to policy- and decision-makers, as well as the general public, in a useful form. http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/22/the-purpose-of-x2-is-to-identify-future-disruptions-opportunities-and-competitive-landscapes-related-to-the-content-and-dynamics-of-global-science-and-technology-innovation-to-develop-a-new-platfor/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/22/the-purpose-of-x2-is-to-identify-future-disruptions-opportunities-and-competitive-landscapes-related-to-the-content-and-dynamics-of-global-science-and-technology-innovation-to-develop-a-new-platfor/#comments Sun, 22 Jun 2008 21:54:06 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/?p=7312 X2

Made with Drupal. Sounds well done. A pity it’s not prediction markets.

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]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2008/06/22/the-purpose-of-x2-is-to-identify-future-disruptions-opportunities-and-competitive-landscapes-related-to-the-content-and-dynamics-of-global-science-and-technology-innovation-to-develop-a-new-platfor/feed/ 0 The Institute For The Future tells its experience with Inkling Markets. http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/09/13/the-institute-for-the-future-tells-its-experience-with-inkling-markets/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/09/13/the-institute-for-the-future-tells-its-experience-with-inkling-markets/#comments Thu, 13 Sep 2007 08:18:47 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/09/13/the-institute-for-the-future-tells-its-experience-with-inkling-markets/ The Institute For The Future:

These ideas are pulled predominantly from the experience of running the market, rather than participating in the market.

Hummm… I don’t find the text to be an interesting read. Do you?

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/09/13/the-institute-for-the-future-tells-its-experience-with-inkling-markets/feed/ 1 Institute for the Future’s Anthony Townsend does not understand prediction markets. http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/14/institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-does-not-understand-prediction-markets/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/14/institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-does-not-understand-prediction-markets/#comments Thu, 14 Jun 2007 11:44:55 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/14/institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-does-not-understand-prediction-markets/ His totally shallow analysis is here. Not worth reading. Not worth blogging about.

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/06/14/institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-does-not-understand-prediction-markets/feed/ 0 The Institute for the Future’s Anthony Townsend on internal prediction markets http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/23/the-institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-on-internal-prediction-markets-2/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/23/the-institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-on-internal-prediction-markets-2/#comments Mon, 23 Apr 2007 14:31:05 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/23/the-institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-on-internal-prediction-markets-2/ Continue reading →]]> From his Confab notes:

I was both buoyed and dismayed by what I learned at this event. Buoyed by how much potential there is in prediction markets for improving decision-making and forecasting. Dismayed by how shallow the body of knowledge is on how to make them work well, and how to make them work well inside large organizations.

Still true, four months later. :(

]]> http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/04/23/the-institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-on-internal-prediction-markets-2/feed/ 0 The Institute for the Future’s Anthony Townsend on internal prediction markets http://www.midasoracle.org/2006/12/18/the-institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-on-internal-prediction-markets/ http://www.midasoracle.org/2006/12/18/the-institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-on-internal-prediction-markets/#comments Mon, 18 Dec 2006 10:39:08 +0000 Chris F. Masse http://www.midasoracle.org/2006/12/18/the-institute-for-the-futures-anthony-townsend-on-internal-prediction-markets/ Continue reading →]]> From his Confab notes:

I was both buoyed and dismayed by what I learned at this event. Buoyed by how much potential there is in prediction markets for improving decision-making and forecasting. Dismayed by how shallow the body of knowledge is on how to make them work well, and how to make them work well inside large organizations.

In my view, the vendors (Consensus Point and others) are making a big mistake by insisting on secrecy —or maybe their clients do. There are probably less than 100 corporations experimenting with internal prediction markets, these days, in Europe and the U.S. You need an electronic microscope to count them. As long as opacity reigns, as long as you don’t have a body of business cases, investigated and published, prediction market consulting will remain an amateurish business —not to be taken seriously.

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