Tag Archives: information aggregation tool

The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

Posted in People, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Justin Wolfers should have his own Wikipedia entry.

Any Wikipedian out there willing to start off his page? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Justin_Wolfers – Robin Hanson, Tyler Cowen, Steve Levitt, and even Don Luskin and Robert Scoble, have their own Wikipedia entry. Why not Wolfers???… I realized that when I updated my … Continue reading

Posted in Midas Oracle Administration, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Can you think of another name to add in this list?

Acknowledments – Friedrich August von Hayek (an economist who introduced, among other things, the concept of the market as an information aggregation tool in The Use of Knowledge in Society, and the 1974 co-winner of the Nobel Prize in economics); … Continue reading

Posted in Midas Oracle Administration | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The Reuters story on the expansion of prediction exchanges

… is probably the story that prompted Matt Drudge to cite the Iowa Electronic Markets, briefly, yesterday, on its one-page website. Thanks to George Tziralis for the Reuters link. John Delaney, the chief executive of Intrade, said the similar results … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta) | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Prediction markets: an information aggregation perspective to the forecasting problem

Prediction markets: an information aggregation perspective to the forecasting problem – (PDF file) – by George Tziralis and Ilias Tatsiopoulos – (maybe written in 2006) – 2007-05-xx Lately, traditional forecasting methods have been depicted as inferior to newer ones which … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

HP BRAIN

HP BRAIN: The BRAIN Process is an information aggregation tool that harnesses all of the power and truth-telling properties of market mechanisms and implements it with all of the simplicity and robustness of a simple survey. It is designed to … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged | Leave a comment