Tag Archives: individual trader
What I think of Robin Hanson’s comment to the CFTC… and what I think about his slam at TradeSports-InTrade, BetFair-TradeFair, and HedgeStreet.
Overall, his input is very brainy.
It’s a major contribution to the general discussion about prediction markets.
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Please, allow me to disagree on one thing he said.
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Robin Hanson:
One proposed distinguishing criteria includes the size of an individual trader’s stake, and the number of traders. The Iowa Electronic Markets are limited on both of these parameters. Such limits [...]
What Robin Hanson told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)
Robin Hanson:
Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2008 10:12:46 -0400
To: secretary@cftc.gov
From: Robin Hanson <rhanson@gmu.edu>
Subject: Comment on “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts”
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I am an event market innovator, having published the first detailed discussions envisioning their widespread application, having designed a widely used trading mechanism (the market scoring rule), and having co-developed the first [...]
The PopSci PPX betting exchange has been plagged by manipulators.
The PopSci PPX managers are finally reacting and strengthening their rules.
1) Market manipulation will not be tolerated. PPX defines market manipulation as engaging in any activity which may artificially affect the market price of a security, or any other PPX market information. Market manipulation may include, but is not limited to: coordinated trading by different [...]
Trading Pro: a prediction system that offers market price forecasts
Via Niall O’Connor, Trading Pro:
OUTSTANDING TRADING SYSTEM
Amazingly accurate daily and intraday market forecasts of the Dow, NASDAQ, S&P 100, S&P 500, and the major overseas markets.
TradingPRO is and easy-to-trade trading system, specially designed to day trade the market indexes or correlated products (future indexes, e-minies contracts, options, and cash market) giving you easy to follow [...]
Inkling Markets: New Logo, New HomePage
- No link from the frontpage to the listing of their play-money prediction markets. (These two Chicago Boys have a screw loose, in my view.)
- I don’t like the blablating under the “Inkling Markets Explained” headline. Too long. Not accurate. (Mitigating risk, you say??? You can’t be serious.)
- 18 clients listed. Great. (Take that, Robin [...]
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