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Tag Archives: Howard Dean
Barack Obama will finish off Hillary Clinton by June 15.
- Lawrence O’Donnell (a leftist journalist –but a good one, whom I appreciate): A senior campaign official and Clinton confidante has told me that there will be a Democratic nominee by June 15. [...] Yes, Clinton spokespersons publicly seem to … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic candidate, Democratic party, democrats, Hillary Clinton, Howard Dean, HubDub, Indiana, InTrade, John McCain, Justin Wolfers, Lawrence O'Donnell, leftist journalist, meta forecasting tools, NBC, NBC Nightly News, NewsFutures, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Politics, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, President, Republican candidate, senior campaign official, Tim Russert, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party
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2008′s Hillary Clinton = 2004′s Howard Dean
2008 US presidential elections Source: Dynamic, compound prediction market charts from InTrade — – Yahoo! News US Political Dashboard – Prediction Market Dashboard
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barak Obama, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hillary Clinton, Howard Dean, InTrade, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Politics, prediction markets, Rudy Giuliani, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections
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Misunderstanding Prediction Market Failures
Every now and again, I read something that simply makes my head spin. This [] New York Times article on prediction markets was just such a head-spinning column. It reached such a bizarre conclusion that it begs for comment. Longtime … Continue reading →
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged CEO, David Leonhardt, Delphi, Hawaii, Howard Dean, Iowa, Michael Jackson Trial, Morgan Stanley, New York Times, Purcell, Republican Party, Senate, the Times, United States, Wall Street
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3 Comments