Tag Archives: Hillary Rodham Clinton

RE: Alleged manipulation of the Hillary Clinton event derivative at InTrade-TradeSports

Posted on August 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Does a rich trader, highly partisan and highly convinced that Hillary will make it, care about the price? If he/she has persuaded himself/herself that the expiry will bring $100, then buying the Hillary Clinton event derivative at $40 will yield … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Data), Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged Barak Obama, Daily Kos, DAMN MANIPULATOR, Eric Zitzewitz, founder, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Iraq, Justin Wolfers, Kos, Markos Moulitsas Zuniga, next president, prediction markets, President, rich trader, United States, USD, WHO, World Health Organization | Leave a comment

Nicholas Kristoffâ€™s ad for the InTrade prediction markets in the New York Times

Posted on July 31, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Heu… Sorry… Nicholas Kristoffâ€™s Op-Ed featuring the InTrade betting exchange in the 2007-07-30′s New York Times – $$$ … Via Freakonomics… Right now the pundit with perhaps the most outstanding record thinks Hillary Rodham Clinton has the best chance of … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Barack Obama, becoming president, Bill Richardson, Fred Thompson, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Ireland, New York Times, Nicholas Kristoff, political betting Web site, Rudy Guiliani, the New York Times, United Kingdom, United States, vice president, www.intrade.com | 3 Comments

THE 2007-07-07 LUCKY DAY: Washington Post’s Slate.com links to Eric Zitzewitz’s piece on Midas Oracle.

Posted on July 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Tim Harford: The economists Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz have pointed out that Hillary Clintonâ€™s chances of becoming president, as predicted by one betting market, InTrade, started to climb dramatically mid-May, topping 40 per cent after months of fluctuating between … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Alex Forshaw, becoming president, Eric Zitzewitz, George Mason University, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Justin Wolfers, prediction markets, President, rival candidate, Robin Hanson, Ryan Oprea, Tim Harford, Washington Post, Winning Party | Leave a comment

Manipulation of the Hillary Clinton event derivative? Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz + Koleman Strumpf and Paul Rhode + Robin Hanson and Ryan Oprea

Posted on June 29, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged becoming president, Eric Zitzewitz, George Mason University, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Justin Wolfers, Koleman Strumpf, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, rival candidate, Robin Hanson, Ryan Oprea Tim, Ryan Oprea | 3 Comments

Hillary Rodham Clinton – Event Derivatives & Prediction Markets – InTrade-TradeSports + BetFair + NewsFutures

Posted on May 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

— BetFair: Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Presidential Nominee – Static chart BetFair – Winning Party: Democratic – Static chart BetFair – 2008 Election – Female President – Static chart – (Thanks to Eric Zitzewitz for the tip.) — NewsFutures … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Eric Zitzewitz, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, President, Winning Party | Leave a comment