Tag Archives: Hilary Clinton

Has the media narrative turned against Hilary Clinton?

… asks UK blogger Mike Smithson, who concludes that… yes, the Hillary Clinton event derivatives are topping… and thus Mike Smithson commits to selling them short. If she gets the nomination but fails to win the overall race I get … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Do Gambling Laws Threaten Prediction Markets?

Because prediction market traders generally rely more on skill than on chance to win, I’ve argued that they do not qualify in “gambling” as defined by U.S. law. I’ve also admitted, however, that over-ambitious prosecutors might see the matter differently. … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments