Tag Archives: Hewlett-Packard

Steve Wozniak and Ron Wayne are the two guys who started Apple with Steve Jobs in his parents’ garage. — [VIDEO]

Bloomberg. Via.

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How the prediction market industry lied to the media (and the public, *YOU*) about Hewlett-Packard’s pilot tests regarding enterprise prediction markets

Paul Hewitt on the Hewlett-Packard (HP) prediction markets: Another tried-and-true method is to repeat a statement over-and-over until it becomes a “fact”. The best example of this, regarding prediction markets, is the claim that they are “proven” by virtue of … Continue reading

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The best research papers on prediction markets

As seen by Andreas Graefe… IIF’s SIG on Prediction Markets Research Papers Basics Several studies explain the concept of prediction markets and provide useful summaries of the method, e.g. – Spann, M. & Skiera, B. (2003). Internet-based Virtual Stock Markets … Continue reading

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Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Labs (with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo) – - Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.) Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) … Continue reading

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INTEL BUSINESS CASE: INTERNAL PREDICTION MARKETS DO WORK.

UPDATE: WARNING: Even though the Intel director uses 15 times the term “prediction markets” in this paper, the forecasting tool they have been using is another form of information aggregation mechanism. — Via the absolutely indispensable but nevertheless extremely modest … Continue reading

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HEDGESTREET: Earnings Per Share Prediction Markets + Merger And Acquisition Prediction Markets

US-based, CFTC-regulated, real-money prediction exchange HedgeStreet: Earnings Per Share Event Derivatives Wal-Mart Stores Exxon Mobil 3M Amazon.com Apple Boeing Caterpillar Citigroup Ford Motor Genentech, Inc. Google Halliburton Intel McDonald’s Microsoft Motorola Pfizer Yahoo Bebe Costco Wholesale Dell Electronic Arts (EA) … Continue reading

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Can the Many forecast better than the Few in the pharmaceutical industry?

Can the Many forecast better than the Few in the pharmaceutical industry? – (PDF) – by Joseph Miles – 2007-02-XX Professor Robin Hanson asserts that, overall, prediction markets done well compared with every other traditional forecast and individual expert. [...] … Continue reading

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Yahoo! Confab on prediction markets… for ever.

— Credit: Declan McCullagh/CNET News.com: Robin Hanson, an economics professor at George Mason University and an early proponent of using prediction markets to judge government policies, stands at the podium. On the left is Eric Zitzewitz, an economics professor at … Continue reading

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