Tag Archives: head

Don’t trade on the VP predictions markets. — Don’t bet on Hillary Clinton as VP. — Don’t listen to betting bloggers who tell you that Hillary Clinton has a chance to be on the Democratic ticket. — Don’t believe in “vice presidential selection committees”. — Select well your primary, advanced indicators. — Choose your bets carefully.

Posted on June 5, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

The topic of this post is: Betting & Information – - #1. Don’t trade on the VP predictions markets. I have stong reservations about those VP prediction markets. Only 2 men in the world know what is going to happen: … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Betting, Democratic Vice President, Dick Cheney, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, FREE FALL, George W. Bush, Google, head, Hillary Clinton, information, Information Technology, InTrade, Iraq, John McCain, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, PageRank, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, Use technology, vice president, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, VP, VP nominee, VP prediction markets, VP predictions markets, VP-candidate prediction markets | 10 Comments

Decision Markets and Futarchy are solutions in desperate search for a problem to solve and for their early adopters… and that may stay that way well after Robin Hanson’s head gets cryogenized.

Posted on April 14, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- Robin Hanson: [...] We rarely seek out advice, and when we do it is usually on much smaller decisions. [...] One reason we avoid getting advice is that it lowers our status relative to those who give advice. Of … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting | Tagged Collective Decision Making, conditional prediction markets, decision making, decision markets, decision-aid markets, decisions, desperate search, event derivative markets, event derivatives, head, prediction markets, propeller heads, radical market-based solution, reading, Robin Hanson | 3 Comments

“I’m very concerned with the international situation and what’s happening in Tibet.”

Posted on April 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- International Olympic Committee head Jacques Rogge – Olympics @ Wikipedia – - – Contract Rules – This contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if there is an official boycott of the 2008 Olympic games in Beijing announced before … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 Olympic games, Beijing, China, European Union, event derivative markets, event derivatives, France, Germany, head, International Olympic Committee, InTrade, Jacques Rogge, media sources, Midas Oracle Predictions, Olympic, Olympics, Olympics 2008, prediction markets, Prime Minister, Tibet, United States, USD | Leave a comment

TradeFair CEO’s career background

Posted on March 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

The Times (of London): An odd career move for Robin Osmond, who was head of JPMorganâ€™s corporate equity capital markets in Europe and has turned up as chief executive of Tradefair, Betfairâ€™s spread-betting business. It might be taken as a … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Jobs - Careers - Hiring | Tagged CEO, chief executive, Europe, head, head of corporate equity capital markets, investment banking, JPMorgan, London, prediction markets, Robin Osmond, the Times, TradeFair | Leave a comment

Prediction Market Management — Foresight Exchange vs. Inkling Markets & HubDub

Posted on January 28, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

This is a follow-up post. — Ken Kittlitz (the head of the Foresight Exchange) to me: You’re correct, the owner of an FX claim must find a different FX player to act as the judge. This is largely to ensure … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, X Groups | Tagged event derivative management, Foresight Exchange, FX player, head, HubDub, Inkling, inkling markets, judge, Ken Kittlitz, prediction market management, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Midas Oracle readers = information workers

Posted on December 14, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Bill Gates (the head of the Evil Empire): The skills you need to succeed One of the most important changes of the last 30 years is that digital technology has transformed almost everyone into an information worker. [...] I also … Continue reading →

Posted in Psychology, The Internet | Tagged Bill Gates, digital technology, head, information worker, reading, The Internet | Leave a comment

BetFair’s Global Warming Prediction Markets

Posted on November 22, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

As you have seen, Niall O’Connor posted about BetFair’s Global Warming prediction markets, yesterday, Wednesday. I searched the Web and couldn’t find their announcement. So I e-mailed Robin Marks (the Head of the Media Department at BetFair), and he was … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Australia, Barbara Follett, BetFair, climate change, Conservative MP, energy-efficient machines, event derivative markets, event derivatives, GBP, global warming, Green Grid Consortium, Greg Hands, head, Head of the Media Department, HSBC, Labour MP, London, Malta, Managing Director Corporate Affairs, Mark Davies, Niall O'Connor, online, online betting, prediction markets, Robin Marks, Stevenage, Tasmania, technology, ThanksGiving, United Kingdom, www.betfair.com | Leave a comment

Prediction markets or insider trading could reveal information hidden from upper management

Posted on October 29, 2007 by Michael Giberson

Larry Ribstein suggests that at least some of Boeingâ€™s troubles with the 787 might have been avoided if either insider trading was permitted in Boeingâ€™s stock or the company was operating internal prediction markets focused on project completion. The quotes … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Business, Cases | Tagged 787, Boeing, Chairman and Chief Executive, event derivative markets, event derivatives, head, Henry Manne, information flow in organizations, information technologies, insider trading, Jim McNerney, Larry Ribstein, Merrill, prediction markets, project management, senior management, upper management, USD, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

Just like Rush Limbaugh and Bill O’Reilly, Roger Ailes, the head of the Fox Financial Network, is a total, complete and definitive nut.

Posted on October 20, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Joe Nocera of the liberal New York Times (+ page two): When I spoke to [Roger Ailes, the head of the Fox Financial Network], he was no less inflammatory. [Speaking of their competitor, CNBC...] â€œTheyâ€™ve decided recently that America is … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Ethics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged America, Bill O'Reilly, CNBC, Enron, head, Joe Nocera, Mark Hoffman, New York Times, President, Roger Ailes, Rush Limbaugh, USD | 1 Comment

Does betting exchange BetFair handle more daily trades than the New York Stock Exchange?

Posted on August 23, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

No, but BetFair might well be the world’s third financial exchange in terms of transaction volumes (which is a secondary metrics, of course). Steve Roman (who works in NYC’s financial industry) attracted my attention to this line from The Los … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Data), Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Liquidity | Tagged Australia, Chicago, Civil Rights Action Corporation, Eric Zitzewitz, head, Internet gambling colossus Betfair, Jason Ruspini, Jed Christiansen, London, London Stock Exchange, Los Angeles Times, New Financial Betting, New York Board of Trade, New York Stock Exchange, prediction markets, Robin Marks, Steve Roman, The Los Angeles Times, United Kingdom | Leave a comment

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