Tag Archives: Hawaii

Misunderstanding Prediction Market Failures

Posted on February 21, 2007 by Barry Ritholtz

Every now and again, I read something that simply makes my head spin. This [] New York Times article on prediction markets was just such a head-spinning column. It reached such a bizarre conclusion that it begs for comment. Longtime … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged CEO, David Leonhardt, Delphi, Hawaii, Howard Dean, Iowa, Michael Jackson Trial, Morgan Stanley, New York Times, Purcell, Republican Party, Senate, the Times, United States, Wall Street | 3 Comments

Why are prediction markets not “as common as economists might expect”?

Posted on November 7, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Professor Tyler Cowen of Marginal Revolution wrote (with in mind, probably, his old blog post about internal prediction markets): The costs of building coalitions are also a neglected element in the theory of organizations. Even in the private sector, once … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta) | Tagged Delphi, economist, Guy Kawasaki, Hawaii, Hawaii islands, institution designer, Pacific Ocean, prediction markets, Professor, Robin Hanson, Tyler Cowen | Leave a comment

U.S. map of the TradeSports-InTrade political prediction markets – REDUX

Posted on November 7, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

As announced by Yahoo! scientist David Pennock on this group blog one month ago: 2006 US Senate races 2006 US Governor races My Rant: In the Senate map, Missouri and Virginia appear as WHITE, whereas they should be pale blue, … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Resources - References | Tagged David Pennock, governor, Hawaii, Lance Fortnow, Missouri, Professor, scientist, Senate, United States, United States Senate, Virginia, Yahoo! | Leave a comment