Tag Archives: Harry Potter

InTrade is exaggerating the usefulness of collective forecasting via prediction markets.

Posted on July 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Look at the market liquidity —too insignificant to say anything: InTrade (like many other industry players and scholars) are exaggerating the usefulness of the prediction markets. When there is no liquidity, just keep your mouth shut. Wait until the market … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The New York Times has read Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows.

Posted on July 19, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Via Niall O’Connor, New York Times: [...] J. K. Rowling’s monumental, spellbinding epic, 10 years in the making, is deeply rooted in traditional literature and Hollywood sagas — from the Greek myths to Dickens and Tolkien to “Star Wars.” And … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows is now accessible via BitTorrent.

Posted on July 17, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows — Harry Potter will survive The Deathly Hallows. © NewsFutures — Static chart: — Previous: Deep Throat sells Harry Potter short. + The contract of the Harry Potter event derivative at NewsFutures may … Continue reading →

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Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle… AGAIN

Posted on July 17, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Previous: Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle + Deep Throat sells Harry Potter short. + The contract of the Harry Potter event derivative at NewsFutures may be flawed. + The Harry Potter litmus test

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Deep Throat on the expiry of the Harry Potter event derivative

Posted on July 14, 2007 by Guest Author

I know zip about Potter, but allusion to death by old age doesn’t seem like character dies to me. Signed: Deep Throat Previous: Deep Throat sells Harry Potter short. + The contract of the Harry Potter event derivative at NewsFutures … Continue reading →

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Deep Throat sells Harry Potter short.

Posted on July 13, 2007 by Guest Author

If there is a 50/50 chance of the epilogue being interpreted as part of the novel (I think it would be higher) and a high chance of a sad epilogue (telling Harry Potter will die after a life well lived), … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle

Posted on July 3, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Next: Harry Potter actor Dan Radcliffe nude on Midas Oracle… AGAIN Previous: Deep Throat sells Harry Potter short. + The contract of the Harry Potter event derivative at NewsFutures may be flawed. + The Harry Potter litmus test

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