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Recent Posts
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: Hanson
Who is the Steve Jobs of the prediction market industry?
The award goes to… the envelope, please… Nigel Eccles. – John Delaney and Emile Servan-Schreiber are good, but they are too much ignorant of information technology. Adam Siegel and David Perry are too much focused on their internal process. BetFair … Continue reading
How political prediction markets save lives
Over the years there has been a lot of talk in this community about how prediction markets could be “socially valuable”. The discussion has often focused on the value of the information and/or predictions that the markets could generate, especially … Continue reading
Not enough profit opportunities in prediction markets?
Robin “High IQ” Hanson: (Don’t bother to complain such a market might pay terrorists to do it – they could make far far more money from such an act trading in existing financial markets.) Coming from one of the co-inventors … Continue reading
The InTrade transaction costs eat substantially their traders’ profits.
Overcoming InTrade’s Bias: Jason Ruspini: Haven’t had time to look at these markets closely recently since there’s no lack of more liquid and volatile ones out there, but selling longshots would be my preferred *Intrade* strategy. I mean, Gore was … Continue reading
James Surowiecki’s The Wisdom Of Crowds… still stands.
James Surowiecki’s 4 comments at Overcoming Bias (in October 2007), responding to accusations that he got it all wrong about Francis Galton: — James Surowiecki’s 1st comment: “Galton did not even bother to calculate a mean, as he saw his … Continue reading
At Yahoo! Research, Yiling Chen is David Pennock’s right arm on prediction markets.
Yiling Chen — Penn State: Yiling Chen joined Yahoo! Research in 2006. Her research interests are on the border of economics and computer science, including prediction markets, auction theory, and sponsored search. [Yiling] Chen’s current research focuses on better understanding … Continue reading
Posted in People
Tagged AI Magazine, Behavior, Chao-Hsien Chu, China, David Pennock, e-commerce, eBusiness Research Center, Hanson, Internet Business, Journal of Management Sciences, Natural Computation, New Mathematics, sponsored search, The Pennsylvania State University, Tracy Mullen, Trader, web conference, web technologies, Yahoo!, Yahoo! Research, Yiling Chen
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Suggestions for the NewsFutures betting exchange
— #1. Allow traders to create and expire their own event derivatives (“DIY prediction markets“, a la Inkling Markets). Establish a reputation system for those event derivative managers. #2. Propose MSR, in addition to CDA. #3. If they are sound, … Continue reading