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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: General
My response to the CFTC on event contracts
Here is my response to the CFTC’s “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts.” I appreciate this opportunity to help in working towards regulated prediction markets in the US, and I thank the Commissioners for it. Given … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics, Regulations
Tagged arbitrator, Brookings Institution Press, candidate, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Three Lafayette Centre, Congress, Democratic president, Department of the Treasury, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, Eriz Zitzewitz, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, for-profit prediction exchanges, General, insurance contracts, Iraq, Islamic Republic of Iran, Jason Ruspini, Justin Wolfers, laws, not-for-profit prediction exchanges, oil prices, particular product, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, President, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, S&P 500, Securities and Exchange Commission, South Carolina, the candidate, Trader, United States, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, USD, Washington D.C.
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HubDub limitations
HubDub is supposed to be a combo: a prediction exchange plus a news aggregator. But are the news sorted out pertinently? Out of the 13 news stories listed under the prediction market on the CFTC licensing event markets, not a … Continue reading
Collective Error = Average Individual Error – Prediction Diversity
- The Brain has a comment on Scott Page’s presentation [PPT file] about his book, The Difference: One question is whether there is a way to usefully systematize that principle by trader selection or via something other than a strict … Continue reading
Reminder: Corporate Applications of Prediction Markets Conference (1 November)
The conference will be held next Thursday (1 November) at the Kauffman Foundation in Kansas City. All of the details are available on the conference webpage (http://people.ku.edu/~cigar/PMConf_2007) and the schedule is listed below. I am pleased to note that Mat … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings
Tagged AEI-Brookings Joint Center on Regulatory Studies, Alexander Costakis, Arizona, Best Buy, Brookings Institution, CEO, Chapman University School of Law, Christina Ann LaComb, Co-Founder and CEO, Co-Founder and President, Consensus, David Perry, Dawn Keller, Department of Economics, Director, Discussion, Eller College of Management, Eric Zitzewitz, Founder and CEO, General, George Mason, George Mason Department of Economics, Google, Henry Berg, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, InTrade, Jim Lavoie, John Delaney, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kellogg, Managing Director, Marco Ottaviani, Mat Fogarty, Microsoft, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, President, Rite, Robert E. Litan, Robin Hanson, School of Management, Senior Fellow, Tom W. Bell, University of Arizona, VP Research and Policy, Xpree, Xpree Inc
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Conference: Corporate Applications of Prediction/Information Markets (Thursday, 1 November 2007)
I have organized a conference on corporate prediction markets which may be of interest to Midas Oracle readers. It will take place on 1 November at the Kauffman Foundation in Kansas City. All of the details are available on the … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings
Tagged AEI-Brookings Joint Center on Regulatory Studies, Arizona, Best Buy, Brookings Institution, CEO, Chapman University School of Law, Christina Ann LaComb, Co-Founder and CEO, Co-Founder and President, Consensus, David Perry, Dawn Keller, Department of Economics, Director, Discussion, Eller College of Management, Eric Zitzewitz, Founder and CEO, General, George Mason, George Mason Department of Economics, Google, Henry Berg, InTrade, Jim Lavoie, John Delaney, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kellogg, Marco Ottaviani, Microsoft, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, President, Rite, Robert E. Litan, Robin Hanson, School of Management, Tom W. Bell, University of Arizona, VP Research and Policy
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Market Making on BetFair
Via our faithful reader Rajesh R. Kallidumbil, the BetFair forum (click on “General Betting” – below are the best excerpts of the discussion): Public traded companies acting marketmakers. fair? alika 08 Aug 10:41 A Swedish public company traded on the … Continue reading
Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Human)
Tagged adaptable applications, analyst, API, Archaius Tory, assistant, Bet Angel, BetFair, Betting, GBP, General, Leeson, market maker, off the shelf software packages, prediction markets, Rajesh R. Kallidumbil, swedish site
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Forums on event derivatives (event futures), prediction markets (betting markets) and prediction exchanges (betting exchanges)
TradeSports / InTrade forum — TradeSports sometimes edits/removes its traders’ posts. — BetFair forum — “General Betting” under “Other Groups”, on the left pane, is interesting. — BetFair forum – Asia Foresight Exchange forum = IdeoSphere forum — Inkling Markets … Continue reading
A General Methodology for Designing Self-Organizing Systems
Probability of acceptance: 38%.