Tag Archives: Fukushima

InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM]

Contra to Robin Hanson, Justin Wolfers and James Surowiecki (who all have exaggerated the usefulness of the prediction markets), collective forecasting is not a tool we can rely on for just anything. As I wrote in the past, we need … Continue reading

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Areva’s analysis of the Fukushima nuclear power plant incident — [SLIDES]

The Fukushima Daiichi Incident

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Cryptome (a kind of WikiLeaks) publishes 10 photos of the destroyed Fukushima nuclear power plant. — [PHOTOS]

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Areva’s analysis on Fukushima — [SLIDES]

http://www.scribd.com/doc/51665683/Le-document-d-Areva-sur-Fukushima

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Japanese nuclear disaster and Japanese press coverage — [TRUTH SOCIOLOGY]

In response to Marginal Revolution. Here’s a French journalist covering the events in Japan. My translation. I got rapidly aware that information is blocked. It is not possible to assist to press conferences or to get accredited. And our Japanese … Continue reading

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The IAEA to upgrade Fukushima to a Level 6 accident before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 — [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]

Right-click the chart to get the latest probabilities: NHK WORLD TV live on USTREAM. PREVIOUSLY: The Japanese professor who predicted the nuclear disaster — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM] NEXT: InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. … Continue reading

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The IAEA to upgrade Fukushima to a Level 5 accident before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 — [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]

UPDATE: Upgrade to Level 6, here. Next: The Japanese professor who predicted the nuclear disaster — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM] NEXT: InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM]

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