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Tag Archives: Fukushima
InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM]
Contra to Robin Hanson, Justin Wolfers and James Surowiecki (who all have exaggerated the usefulness of the prediction markets), collective forecasting is not a tool we can rely on for just anything. As I wrote in the past, we need … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem
Tagged betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, electricity, energy, event derivative markets, Fukushima, InTrade, James Surowiecki, Japan, Justin Wolfers, nuclear electricity, nuclear energy, nuclear energy plant, nuclear energy plants, nuclear power, power plant, power plants, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, traders
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Areva’s analysis of the Fukushima nuclear power plant incident — [SLIDES]
The Fukushima Daiichi Incident
Areva’s analysis on Fukushima — [SLIDES]
http://www.scribd.com/doc/51665683/Le-document-d-Areva-sur-Fukushima
Japanese nuclear disaster and Japanese press coverage — [TRUTH SOCIOLOGY]
In response to Marginal Revolution. Here’s a French journalist covering the events in Japan. My translation. I got rapidly aware that information is blocked. It is not possible to assist to press conferences or to get accredited. And our Japanese … Continue reading
Posted in Journalism, News, Philosophy
Tagged censorship, facts, Fukushima, Fukushima nuclear power plant, information, Japan, Japanese government, Journalism, journalists, Media, press, reporting, truth
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The IAEA to upgrade Fukushima to a Level 6 accident before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 — [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]
Right-click the chart to get the latest probabilities: NHK WORLD TV live on USTREAM. PREVIOUSLY: The Japanese professor who predicted the nuclear disaster — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM] NEXT: InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Charting System, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Asia, bets, Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, earthquake, electricity, energy, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Fukushima, Fukushima Nuclear Plant, IAEA, International Atomic Energy Agency, InTrade, Japan, nuclear energy, nuclear power, nuclear power plants, prediction markets, risks, tsunami
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The IAEA to upgrade Fukushima to a Level 5 accident before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 — [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]
UPDATE: Upgrade to Level 6, here. Next: The Japanese professor who predicted the nuclear disaster — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM] NEXT: InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM]
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem
Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, earthquake, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Fukushima, IAEA, International Atomic Energy Agency, InTrade, Japan, prediction markets, tsunami
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