Tag Archives: Francois Bayrou

MIDAS ORACLE PROCLAIMS REPUBLICAN NICOLAS SARKOZY AS THE FRENCH PRESIDENT-ELECT.

Posted on April 22, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

#1. Results of the first round: Republican Nicolas Sarkozy (31.2%), Socialist Segolene Royal (25.9%) —updated Then come Centrist Francois Bayrou (18.6%), Right-Wing Extremist Jean-Marie Le Pen (10.4%) and then the “small” candidates. #2. The second round will be in two … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged economist, Emile Servan-Schreiber, France, Francois Bayrou, French political elections, Jean-Marie Le Pen, Mike Smithson, Nicolas Sarkozy, President, Socialist candidate | 3 Comments

NEXT SUNDAY, THE FRENCH WILL ELECT REPUBLICAN NICOLAS SARKOZY AS THEIR PRESIDENT.

Posted on April 20, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Economist tells me I should vote for Nicolas Sarkozy. Well… if they really think he’s “the man”… The French presidential election France’s chance Apr 12th 2007 From The Economist print edition After a quarter-century of drift Nicolas Sarkozy offers … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged America, Britain, candidate, coddled public services, economist, Europe, European Central Bank, European Union, Finance, finance minister, FranÃ§ois Mitterrand, France, Francois Bayrou, interior minister, Ireland, Jacques Chirac, Jean-Marie Le Pen, leader, minister, National Front, Nicolas Sarkozy, Open Institute Of Prediction Markets, Paris railway station, Politician, President, Socialist candidate, Spain, The Economist, The Netherlands, Tony Blair, Turkey, UMP party, welfare systems, western Europe | 7 Comments

Are Nicolas Sarkozy backers right to be so confident?

Posted on April 3, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

… asks Mike Smithson. (((Legend: Still no idea what this chart represents. Bookmakers’ odds or betting exchanges’ ones???))) Mike Smithson’s strategy: My current betting strategy is to seek to make the most of the first round. Iâ€™ve just put a … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged D day, extreme-Right candidate, France, Francois Bayrou, Jean-Marie Le Pen, Mike Smithson, Nicolas Sarkozy, President, runner-up, U.K.'s Financial Services Authority, United Kingdom | Leave a comment

Quick update on French president prediction markets

Posted on March 10, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Case#1. If things stay as they are today, the next French president is Republican Nicolas SARKOZY. Case #2. If Centrist Francois BAYROU manages to gain one or two points in the polls, so as to be above the Socialist Segolene … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged D day, Francois Bayrou, NBC, Nicolas Sarkozy, President | 2 Comments

Who will be the next French President? Nicolas Sarkozy or Francois Bayrou?

Posted on March 9, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

— – There will be two rounds (Sunday April 22, 2007 + Sunday May 6, 2007). The finale is for the two most popular candidates (unless one got more than 50% in the first round). – If right-wing extremist (racist … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged author, Francois Bayrou, IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE, Jean-Marie Le Pen, Nicolas Sarkozy, President | Leave a comment