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- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
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- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
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- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
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- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: FOMC
Market Probabilities on January 2008 FOMC
Stan Jonas (DutchBook Partners) to me: This chart captures (tick by tick) the “arbitrageable” probabilities of perhaps the most popular “bet” traded: the probability that the FED will move 50 basis points (i.e. twice) by the January 2008 FOMC. As … Continue reading
Posted in Finance
Tagged Bank of England, central bank, DutchBook Partners, Federal Reserve System, FOMC, Norway, Stan Jonas, Sweden
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BetFair predicts: US Federal Funds Rate = 5%
What will be the change in US Federal Funds Rate at this month’s scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting? FOMC – September FOMC Current Rate 5.25% . – 0.25 UPDATE: BetFair accurately predicted the direction of the interest rate … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Ben S. Bernanke, Bloomberg, Board of Governors, Boston, chairman, Charles L. Evans, Cleveland, Donald L. Kohn, Eric Rosengren, Federal Open Market Committee, Federal Reserve System, Felix Salmon, FOMC, Frederic S. Mishkin, Kansas City, Kevin M. Warsh, Minneapolis, New York, Niall O'Connor, Randall S. Kroszner, San Francisco, St. Louis, Thomas M. Hoenig, Timothy F. Geithner, Vice-Chairman, Wall Street, William Poole
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The market stumbled as Wall Street seemed to grasp that the Federal Reserve is in no hurry to lower interest rates.
Wall Street Journal: The signs came early, starting with a speech before the markets opened by the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, that hinted the central bank was comfortable in its current monetary policy groove of holding rates steady at … Continue reading
Ben Bernanke predicts that the economy will rebound later this year (2007).
Crossing Wall Street: [...] That’s good to hear. Of course, in February he was expecting 2.5% to 3% growth this year — not the 0.6% we have. More importantly, however, is what the market says. The markets’ odds for a … Continue reading