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The American Enterprise Institute’s proposals to legalize real-money prediction markets in the United States of America

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 17, 2008 — 27 Comments

The Promise of Prediction Markets – by Kenneth J. Arrow, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, John O. Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert Litan, Paul Milgrom, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann, Marco Ottaviani, Thomas C. Schelling, Robert J. Shiller, Vernon L. Smith, Erik Snowberg, Cass R. Sunstein, Paul C. Tetlock, Philip E. Tetlock, [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Also tagged AEI, American Enterprise Institute, Cass R. Sunstein, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Forrest D. Nelson, George R. Neumann, Hal R. Varian, Iowa, Iraq, Jason Ruspini, John O. Ledyard, Justin Wolfers, Kenneth J. Arrow, laws, legalization, Marco Ottaviani, Michael Gorham, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul Wolfowitz, Philip E. Tetlock, Porter, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robert Forsythe, Robert Hahn, Robert J. Shiller, Robert Litan, Robin Hanson, Saul Levmore, sports events, The University of Iowa, Thomas C. Schelling, Tom W. Bell, United States Of America, US Congress, USD, Vernon L. Smith, young economist

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Chris F. Masse on “In 1965, Congress said Medicare would cost $9 billion by 1990. In reality, it cost $67 billion –seven times more than the prediction.”
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