Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

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Expert Groups vs. Prediction Markets

MicroSoft’s Towards 2020 Science, via Perfectly Reasonable Deviations:
In the summer of 2005, an international expert group was brought together for a workshop to define and produce a new vision and roadmap of the evolution, challenges and potential of computer science and computing in scientific research in the next fifteen years.
The resulting document, Towards 2020 Science, [...]

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