Midas Oracle .ORG » events

Joe Weisenthal is now in bed with InTrade.

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 04 Mar 2010 11:58:39 +0000

Business Insider cites various InTrade probabilities.

Joe should mention whether there is volume on each market.
Joe should cite BetFair, not InTrade, for any UK-related event.
Joe should be aware of InTrade’s long history of fucking up contracts and settlements on non-sporting events. (Type “North Korea missile InTrade” in Google, and review the various InTrade forums for traces of past fights.)

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Robin Hanson’s futarchy is “retarded”.

Chris F. Masse — Wed, 23 Dec 2009 05:57:40 +0000

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Debate between Robin Hanson and blogger Mencius Moldbug about futarchy, “a subject on which fur has flown over the blogosphere.”

How to use enterprise prediction markets to minimize risks when introducing new products

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 26 Nov 2009 11:43:20 +0000

How to Use Collective Intelligence to Minimize Risks When Introducing New Products

CrowdCast WebCast – (Tuesday, December 8, 2009):

Does your company rely on new product introductions to drive growth? A single missed launch date for a new product can impact company valuation by 5%, costing millions of dollars in market capitalization. Given increasing consumer and investor expectations around new products, and the globalization of supply chains, the risks to your company have never been higher or harder to measure.

Throughout the launch of each new product, the information you need to make better decisions and to minimize risks exists in your company — if you have an efficient way to tap into this information.

Prediction markets offer a new way to identify, measure and respond to risks. By aggregating insights from across your company to evaluate and quantify risks, you have the best chance to recognize issues early and take corrective action.

From this webcast, you will learn about key problems with new product introductions, and how to use prediction markets to quickly address risks that prevent new products from launching on time.

Inkling Markets’s Adam Siegel needs salad leaves to relieve tension.

Chris F. Masse — Wed, 11 Nov 2009 08:00:27 +0000

If you listened to that “lecture” at Kellogg, send me an anonymous e-mail to cfm &&AT&& midasoracle **+DOT+** (-com-), and tell me how it went and whether Adam has convinced you of the usefulness of enterprise prediction markets.

Tap The Collective — The Photos

Chris F. Masse — Sat, 05 Sep 2009 06:12:56 +0000

The speakers:

Our good friend Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets (his dress code: “you should dress”):

Melody Hildebrandt:

The speakers (minus Adam Siegel and Melody Hildebrandt):

So, now that it is over you can tell me, what were Adam Siegel’s eggs filled with…??…

UPDATE: Robin Hanson + Melody Hildebrandt

Next: “Tap The Collective” failed to convince me about the usefulness of enterprise prediction markets.

Which event planning tool can we use for a prediction market meeting?

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 03 Sep 2009 17:00:39 +0000

- Adam Siegel of Inkling Markets recommends EventBrite, which he used for “Tap The Collective” (all went well, I am told).

- The WordPress and Google people use MeetUp. WordPress and Google are no stupid, so I am sure it means that MeetUp is a very good tool.

- Our good doctor David Pennock is legally tied with UpComing.

- I should mention Doodle.

- FaceBook manages events and meetings, too.

- I prefer LinkedIn’s management of events and meetings because it gives me professional information about all the speakers and attendees.

Appendix:

- I am pulling for BarCamp Sophia Antipolis, which will take place on November 5, 2009. I might be talking about SEO —if that’s what they like.

How did “Tap The Collective” fare?

Chris F. Masse — Thu, 03 Sep 2009 08:41:06 +0000

- Did Melody Hildebrandt wear a dress?

- If “yes”, which color?

- What were Adam Siegel’s eggs filled with? – [Harsh spice? See next line.]

- How did Robin Hanson’s corporate shepherd behave?

BOOBY-TRAP EGGS

Chris F. Masse — Wed, 02 Sep 2009 10:27:29 +0000

Location for a conference on prediction markets?

Chris F. Masse — Fri, 28 Aug 2009 21:52:04 +0000

Folks,

Do you have suggestions about places in San Francisco? New York City? London?

I like what Inkling Markets are doing with “Tap The Collective”. They do it the low-cost way (in a restaurant). It is smart. Do you have suggestions for us in the same line of thoughts?

Thanks. Appreciated. Will make up to you.

What do the CIA, the NASA, the World Bank and the Oak Ridge National Laboratory have in common?

Chris F. Masse — Fri, 28 Aug 2009 21:29:58 +0000

They are all going to participate in Inkling Markets’ DC conference about collective forecasting and prediction markets.

Is the location a restaurant?… !??…