Tag Archives: European Central Bank

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: “Concept Release … Continue reading

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The ECB is expected to raise its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4% when it meets later Wednesday, but economists will be looking for signals on further potential increases.

Wall Street Journal Same remark as 5 minutes ago: The BetFair market-generated probabilities are predictive. — Static chart from BetFair. Click for update. ECB – European Central Bank – June 2007 – +0.25% – (The prediction market is suspended, at … Continue reading

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NEXT SUNDAY, THE FRENCH WILL ELECT REPUBLICAN NICOLAS SARKOZY AS THEIR PRESIDENT.

The Economist tells me I should vote for Nicolas Sarkozy. Well… if they really think he’s “the man”… The French presidential election France’s chance Apr 12th 2007 From The Economist print edition After a quarter-century of drift Nicolas Sarkozy offers … Continue reading

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