Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Eli Lilly

NewsFutures’ hyper marketese on their prediction market consultancy and software package for enterprise prediction markets

NewsFutures:
Top-10 reasons why NewsFutures is the ideal partner to harness the wisdom of your crowd
1.) Integrated Solutions
We offer complete solutions, not just great software. This approach delivers a much higher success rate and enables the client organization to fully consider Prediction Markets as a key decision-support tool.
From experience, we know that a successful prediction market [...]

Has NewsFutures contributed to Eli Lilly’s recent business successes?

The New York Times reports that:

Eli Lilly & Company forecast that 2008 earnings would be greater than Wall Street’s expectations.
Eli Lilly intends to seek federal approval this month for a drug to prevent blood clots.

APPENDIX: Emile Servan-Schreiber (NewsFutures CEO):
By the way, the NewsFutures-Lilly relationship may just be the longest-running working relationship between a Fortune 500 [...]

EyeForPharma Forecasting Excellence USA 2007

EyeForPharma Forecasting Excellence USA 2007 – @ Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.A. – 2007-10-25~26
A few confirmed speakers include:
* Bob Draper, Pre-Submission Forecasting Director, Eli Lilly USA
* Lars Nordmann, Director of Forecasting, Organon USA
* Etienne Adriansen, Director of Strategic Planning and Portfolio, Nycomed
* Stefano Malvolti, Global Head of Forecasting, Novartis
* Kuntal Baveja, Director of Forecasting-Strategic Global Marketing, Novartis
* [...]

INTEL BUSINESS CASE: INTERNAL PREDICTION MARKETS DO WORK.

UPDATE:
WARNING: Even though the Intel director uses 15 times the term “prediction markets” in this paper, the forecasting tool they have been using is another form of information aggregation mechanism.

Via the absolutely indispensable but nevertheless extremely modest George Tziralis, this article in the Intel Technology Journal of May 2007:
The Spectrum of Risk Management in a [...]

An inkling into two NewsFutures clients, Eli Lilly and Arcelor-Mittal

Leftist French daily Libération (Sur Newsfutures.com, on spécule sur l’avenir):
Une activité déjà sur les rails chez NewsFutures qui, en parallèle de son site financé par la publicité, a ouvert des places de marchés prédictives privées spécialement dédiées à des entreprises. Le laboratoire Lilly, l’inventeur du Prozac, s’en est servi pour de la prospective, afin de [...]

FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-HEDGESTREET BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”):
- Why is it that HedgeStreet (the U.S.’s first CFTC-regulated real-money prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited?
- Could you share with us evidence that the HedgeStreet prediction markets are not accurate (if that’s the reason why HedgeStreet is [...]

FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-HSX BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”):
- Why is it that Hollywood Stock Exchange (the world’s #1 play-money prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited?
- Could you share with us evidence that the Hollywood Stock Exchange play-money prediction markets are not accurate (if that’s the reason [...]

FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-BETFAIR BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”):
- Why is it that BetFair (the world’s #1 prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited?
- Could you share with us evidence that the BetFair prediction markets are not accurate (if that’s the reason why BetFair is not cited)?
- Would [...]

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