Tag Archives: Eddy Elfenbein

Investors care if stock XYZ in their portfolio is going to go up or down. That’s it.

Posted on July 15, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Eddy Elfenbein lectures Felix Salmon: July 15th, 2009 4:52 am GMT Felix, I hate to deluge you with comments today but I really have to take exception to this post. One of the big problems with the financial blogosphere is … Continue reading →

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Electability of Hillary Clinton according to InTrade-TradeSports = 65%

Posted on December 12, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Eddy Elfenbein at Crossing Wall Street: I written about this topic before but one of the things I find fascinating about finance is how you can use markets for two items to create an “implied market” for a third. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Implied Tradesports Markets – Implied Democratic House Gain

Posted on November 7, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

A favorite topic of Eddy Elfenbein. (I gave him an award for that in 2005.) As of the last trade, the market believes the Democrats have a 60.2% chance of gaining at least 19.5 seats, and a 46.9% of gaining … Continue reading →

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