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- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: economic analyst
Business Overconfidence as seen thru Google’s Enterprise Prediction Markets
Bo Cowgill: At OVERCOMING BIAS, Robin Hanson blogs about the overconfidence of CEOs, CFOs and software managers. Our paper also measured overconfidence in the workplace. We found that our marketplace was overconfident as a whole, although the market’s optimistic bias … Continue reading
Posted in Cases, Exchanges & Markets, Psychology
Tagged corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, software managers, University of Pennsylvania
1 Comment
Tim Harford on office micro-geography (and Google’s enterprise prediction markets)
Tim Harford: [...] We keep being told that because of cheap, ubiquitous communication technology, distance is dead. But if there was ever a company that we should expect to exemplify that idea, surely it was Google. This research suggests that … Continue reading
Posted in Business, Cases, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, micro-geography, organizational sociology, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Tim Harford, ubiquitous communication technology, University of Pennsylvania
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Robin Hanson is not convinced by the Google experiment with enterprise prediction markets –to say the least.
Robin Hanson in a comment on Marginal Revolution: This is important work for organizational sociology, but not for prediction markets, as this does little to help us find and field high value markets. Finally, somebody who speaks the truth. See … Continue reading
Posted in Cases, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, economist, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, Michael Giberson, micro-geography, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, University of Pennsylvania
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ROBIN HANSON TELLS THE TRUTH ON GOOGLE’S ENTERPRISE PREDICTION MARKETS.
Robin Hanson: Yes prediction markets are cool, Google is cool, and it is cool that Google had location data to show how location influences trading. But cool need not be useful. People are not asking the hard questions here: what … Continue reading
Posted in Cases, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, micro-geography, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, ROBIN HANSON TELLS, University of Pennsylvania, Winston Churchill
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Have Google’s enterprise prediction markets been accurate?
Justin Wolfers: So we decided to move beyond asking, “Do prediction markets work?†and instead use them as a tool for better understanding how information flows within a (very cool) corporation. I am more interested in the accuracy of the … Continue reading
Posted in Cases, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, micro-geography, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, University of Pennsylvania
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The Google currency, the Goobles, was part of the Master Plan.
Via Googlescoped —on that page, search for “Goobles” within your browser. Related Note: Yahoo! currency = the Yootles External Links: Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence From Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill … Continue reading
Micro-geography analysis of trading in Google’s enterprise prediction markets
Bo Cowgill’s main points, in his own words: Traders in the same location tend to make the same trades at the same time. Although we did find strong correlations among professional and social contacts, these were substantially weaker than the … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Cases, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged Bo Cowgill, corporate prediction markets, currency, Dartmouth College, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Goobles, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, University of Pennsylvania
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THE GOOGLE MICRO-GEOGRAPHY PICTURE THAT WAS POSTED AND THEN DELETED BY THE PORTFOLIO MAGAZINE’S BLOGGER
Zubin Jelveh’s post (which first version, which featured the picture, was retrieved thanks to… Google Reader ): The green shows people in Google‘s New York City office who are winning money and the red shows the losers [pic URL]. UPDATE … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Data), Cases, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged Bo Cowgill, corporate prediction markets, Dartmouth College, DELETED BY THE PORTFOLIO MAGAZINE, economic analyst, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, internal prediction markets, Justin Wolfers, New York, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, private prediction markets, University of Pennsylvania, Zubin Jelveh
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