Mike Masnick disproves.

Any impact for the prediction market / betting market industry?

http://www.google.com/commercesearch/

It is great to see that they have 537 participants in their IAM. Congrats to them.

Usability review of BetFair’s iPhone website

The iPhone does not matter in e-commerce —yet.

Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)

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• Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke University, Germany, E.U.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• James Annan – (Global Environment Modelling Research Program, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Japan)
• Werner Antweiler – (UBC Election Stock Market, Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada)
• Kenneth J. Arrow – Kenneth Arrow – (Economics Department, Stanford University, California, U.S.A.)
• Tom W. Bell – Tom Bell – (Law School, Chapman University, California, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Joyce E. Berg – Joyce Berg – Profile – (Iowa Electronic Markets, Accounting, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
• Richard Borghesi – (Finance, Texas State University at San Marcos, Texas, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Kay-Yut Chen – (Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, HP Labs, HP, California, U.S.A.)
• Yiling Chen – (Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Yahoo! Research Labs, New York, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Eric Crampton – (Department of Economics, University of Canterbury, New Zealand) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Ely Dahan – (Marketing, Anderson School, University of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, U.S.A.)
• Anita Elberse – (Marketing, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Massachusetts, U.S.A.)
• Leslie R. Fine – Leslie Fine – (Information Dynamics Lab, HP Labs, California, U.S.A.)
• Gary William Flake – Gary W. Flake – Gary Flake – (MicroSoft, U.S.A.)
• Robert Forsythe – (Dean, College of Business Administration, University of South Florida, Florida, U.S.A.) — Previously: (Economics, Iowa Electronic Markets, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
• Lance Fortnow – Lance J. Fortnow – (Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, McCormick School of Engineering, Northwestern University, Illinois, U.S.A.)
• Keith Jacks Gamble – Keith Gamble – (Economics (University of California at Berkeley) – California, U.S.A. — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Michael Gorham – (IIT Center for Financial Markets, Stuart School of Business, Illinois Institute of Technology, Illinois, U.S.A.) — Previously: (CFTC)
• Thomas S. Gruca – Thomas Gruca – Profile – (Iowa Electronic Markets, Marketing, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
• Refet Gurkaynak – (Department of Economics, Bilkent University, Turkey)
• Friedrich August Von Hayek — R.I.P. — The market as an information aggregation tool: The Use of Knowledge in Society —
• Robert W. Hahn – Robert Hahn – (Executive Director, Reg-Markets Center, American Enterprise Institute, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• James D. Hamilton – James Hamilton – (Department of Economics, University of California at San Diego – California, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Robin Hanson – Robin D. Hanson – (Economics, James M. Buchanan Center, George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• M. Todd Henderson – (Law School, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
• Chris Hibbert – (Software Architect, Zocalo Project Manager, California, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Charles Holt – Charles A. Holt – (Department of Economics, University of Virginia, Virginia, U.S.A.)
• Bernardo A. Huberman – Bernardo Huberman – (Social Computing Lab, HP Labs, California, U.S.A.)
• Frédéric Koessler – (Economics, Centre Nationale de la Recherche Scientifique, France, E.U.)
• Anthony M. Kwasnica – Anthony Kwasnica – (Business Economics, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Smeal College of Business Administration, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.)
• Nicolas Lambert – (Department of Computer Science, Stanford University, California, U.S.A.)
• John O. Ledyard – John Ledyard – (Economics and and Social Sciences, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, California, U.S.A.)
• Andrew Leigh – (Economics, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University, Australia)
• Steven Levitt – Steve Levitt – Steven D. Levitt – (Economics, Director of the Becker Center on Chicago Price Theory, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
• Saul Levmore – (Law School, University of Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
• Robert E. Litan – Robert Litan – (Vice President for Research and Policy, Kauffman Foundation, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S.A.)
• Thomas W. Malone – Thomas Malone – Tom Malone – (MIT Center for Collective Intelligence, Management, MIT Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts, U.S.A.)
• Charles F. Manski – Charles Manski – (College of Arts and Sciences, Norwestern University, Illinois, U.S.A.)
• Adam Meirowitz – (Department of Politics, Princeton University, New Jersey, U.S.A.)
• Paul Milgrom – (Department of Economics, Stanford University, California, U.S.A.)
• Tracy Mullen – (Information Sciences and Technology, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.)
• Forrest Nelson – Profile – (Iowa Electronic Markets, Economics, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
• George R. Neumann – George Neumann – Profile – (Iowa Electronic Markets, Economics, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
• Ryan Oprea – Profile – (Director of the LEEPS laboratory, Economics, University of California at Santa Cruz, California, U.S.A.)
• Gerhard Ortner – (University of Applied Sciences, Austria, E.U.)
• Marco Ottaviani – (Management and Strategy, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Illinois, U.S.A.) – Formerly: (Economics Department, London Business School, United Kingdom, E.U.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• David Paton – (Industrial Economics, Business School, Nottingham University, United Kingdom, E.U.)
• David M. Pennock – David Pennock – (Principal Research Scientist, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Yahoo! Research Labs, New York, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Charles R. Plott – Charles Plott – (Economics and and Social Sciences, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, California, U.S.A.)
• David Porter – (Economics and Finance, Chapman University, California, U.S.A.)
• Todd Proebsting – Todd A. Proebsting – (Microsoft & University of Arizona, U.S.A.)
• Russ Ray – (Finance, College of Business, University of Louisville, Kentucky, U.S.A.)
• Daniel Reeves – (Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Yahoo! Research Labs, New York, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Paul W. Rhode – Paul Rhode – (US Economic History, College of Management, The University of Arizona, Arizona, U.S.A.) – Formerly: (University of North Carolina, North Carolina, U.S.A.)
• Thomas A. Rietz – Thomas Rietz – Profile – (Iowa Electronic Markets, Finance, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
• Richard Roll – (University of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, U.S.A.)
• Thomas W. Ross – Thomas Ross – (UBC Election Stock Market, Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada)
• Rahul Sami – (School of Information, University of Michigan, Michigan, U.S.A.)
• Sam L. Savage – Sam Savage – (Consulting Professor, Stanford U., California, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Thomas C. Schelling – Thomas Schelling – (Economics, School of Public Affair, University of Maryland, Maryland, U.S.A.)
• Emile Servan-Schreiber – (NewsFutures, New York City, New York, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Robert J. Shiller – Robert Shiller – Profile – (Economics, Yale University, Connecticut, U.S.A.)
• Bernd Skiera – (Electronic Commerce, Goethe University, Germany, E.U.)
• Vernon L. Smith – Vernon Smith – (Economics, Economic Science Institute, Chapman University, California, U.S.A.)
• Erik Snowberg – (Stanford University, California, U.S.A.) — Soon at CalTech
• Peter Norman Sorensen – (Finance, Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Denmark, E.U.)
• Martin Spann – (Marketing and Innovation, University of Passau, Germany, E.U.)
• Koleman Strumpf – Koleman S. Strumpf – (Economics, School of Business, University of Kansas, Kansas, U.S.A.) – Formerly: University of North Carolina, North Carolina, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Cass Sunstein – Cass R. Sunstein – (Law School, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)
• James Surowiecki – (The Wisdom Of Crowds) – (New York, U.S.A.)
• Paul C. Tetlock – Paul Tetlock – (Finance, Business School, University of Texas at Austin, Texas, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Philip Tetlock – Philip E. Tetlock – (Leadership, University of California at Berkeley, California, U.S.A.)
• Hal R. Varian – Hal Varian – (Chief Economist, Google, California, U.S.A.) — Formerly: (Haas School of Business, Department of Economics, University of California at Berkeley, California, U.S.A.)
• Dorina Tila – (Economics, George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.)
• Leighton Vaughan-Williams – (Economics and Finance, Business School, Nottingham Trent University, United Kingdom, E.U.)
• Michael Wellman – Michael P. Wellman – (Computer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Michigan, U.S.A.)
• Justin Wolfers – Justin J. Wolfers – (Business and Public Policy, Wharton Business School, University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
• Eric Zitzewitz – Eric W. Zitzewitz – (Economics, Dartmouth College, Massachusetts, USA) – Formerly: (Stanford University, California, U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle

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Yiling Chen

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Penn State:

Yiling Chen joined Yahoo! Research in 2006. Her research interests are on the border of economics and computer science, including prediction markets, auction theory, and sponsored search.

[Yiling] Chen’s current research focuses on better understanding information dynamics in markets and designing innovative mechanisms for efficient information aggregation, dissemination, and use.

Her dissertation research on prediction markets received the Elwood S. Buffa Doctoral Dissertation Honorable Mention in Decision Science (2006) and the eBusiness Research Center (eBRC) Doctoral Award (2004). Chen received her Ph.D. in IST from Penn State.

Chen’s doctoral thesis co-chairs were Dr. Tracy Mullen and Dr. Chao-Hsien Chu.

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External Links:

- Her LinkedIn profile: Yiling Chen

- Her Yahoo! Research website: Yiling Chen

- Her Midas Oracle profile and previous blog posts: Yiling Chen

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Yiling Chen’s papers:

• A Utility Framework for Bounded-Loss Market Makers Chen, Yiling ; Pennock, David M., Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, 2007
• Betting on permutations Chen, Yiling ; Fortnow, Lance ; Nikolova, Evdokia ; Pennock, David M., ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce, 2007
• Bluffing and Strategic Reticence in Prediction Markets Chen, Yiling ; Reeves, Daniel M. ; Pennock, David M. ; Hanson, Robin D. ; Fortnow, Lance; Gonen, Rica, Workshop on Internet and Network Economics, 2007
• Predicting Uncertain Outcomes Using Information Markets: Trader Behavior and Information Aggregation Chen, Yiling ; Chu, Chao-Hsien ; Mullen, Tracy, New Mathematics and Natural Computation, 2006
• An in-depth analysis of information markets with aggregate Chen, Yiling ; Mullen, Tracy ; Chu, Chao-Hsien, Electronic Commerce Research, 2006
• Markets as an information aggregation mechanism for decision support Chen, Yiling, The Pennsylvania State University, 2005
• A Bipartite Graph Co-Clustering Approach for Ontology Mapping Chen, Yiling ; Fonseca, Frederico, Workshop of Semantic Web Technologies for Searching and Retrieving Scientific Data, the 2nd Semantic Web Conference, 2003
• An Introduction to Support Vector Machines: A Review. Chen, Yiling ; Councill, Isaac G., AI Magazine, 2003
• An empirical study on the relationship between price changes and trading volume in China stock market Chen, Yiling ; Song, Fengming, Journal of Management Sciences in China, 2000

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Publications & Conference Papers

Kay-Yut Chen and Tad Hogg, “Aggregating Diffuse Information with Subgroups”, in the proc. of IADIS E-Commerce Conf, Dec 2004.

Kay-Yut Chen, Leslie Fine and Bernardo Huberman, “Eliminating Public Knowledge Biases in Small Group Predictions”, Management Science, Volume 50, Number 7, pp. 983-994, July 2004.

Kay-Yut Chen, Tad Hogg and Nathan Wozny, “Experimental Study of Market Reputation Mechanisms”, In the proc. of ACM E-Commerce Conf, May 2004.

Kay-Yut Chen and Ren Wu, “Computer Games and Experimental Economics”, In the proc. of ICEIS Apr 2003.

Kay-Yut Chen, Leslie Fine and Bernardo Huberman, “Predicting the Future”, Information System Frontier, 5:1, 47-61, Jan 2003.

Kay-Yut Chen, “Defeating Terrorists with Games”, Position paper presented at DARPA GAMBIT conference, Mar 2002.

Kay-Yut Chen, Leslie Fine and Bernardo Huberman, “Forecasting Uncertain Events with Small Groups”, In Proc. of the ACM Conference on E-commerce, Oct 2001.

Working Papers

Kay-Yut Chen and Charles R. Plott, “Information Aggregation Mechanisms: Concept, Design, and Implementation for a Sales Forecasting Problem”, working paper, Mar 2002.

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Second Workshop on Prediction Markets – (Details) – EC’07 - ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce – @ San Diego, California, U.S.A. – 2007-06-11~15

The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications – (Program) – @ University of Riverside, Palm Desert, California, U.S.A. – 2007-05-20~22

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List of conferences at CFM — Event-Mettings post category at Midas Oracle

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Currently building open-source software for Prediction Markets.

Experience includes mentoring in OO programming, E-Commerce, Extreme Programming, and Privacy and SSNs.