Tag Archives: Dow 30

“InTrade’s market data shows that the sliding Dow Jones Industrial Average has an exceptionally strong negative correlation (approx. -0.91 over the last 10 weeks) with the rise in the InTrade Market for Barack Obama to be the next US President.”

Posted on July 15, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- UPDATE: Some smart comments, just below… -

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

InTrade-TradeSports faces a grim future.

Posted on March 5, 2007 by Guest Author

I have been considerably downsizing my positions from the InTrade site. In my view, InTrade faces a rather grim future —no liquidity or bankrupcy. There is little action on most of the InTrade prediction markets (other than a semi-active market … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged | Leave a comment

Paul Tetlock on the inner working of TradeSports-InTrade

Posted on November 16, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Does Liquidity Affect Securities Market Efficiency? – (PDF) – [previous title: Does Noise Trading Affect Securities Market Efficiency?] – by Paul Tetlock – 2006-11-XX Unlike trading in many wagering markets, trading on the TradeSports exchange takes place in standard continuous … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Data), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment